Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Djorden Santos prediction, odds, pick for UFC 328

UFC 328: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland continues on the prelims with a fight between Baisangur Susurkaev and Djorden Santos in the middleweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Susurkaev-Santos prediction and pick.

Baisangur Susurkaev (11-0) is as hot as anyone on the UFC roster right now, riding a two-fight finishing streak inside the Octagon. He rear-naked choked Eric Nolan in round two at UFC 319, then brutally TKO’d Eric McConico with punches in round three at UFC 322 — landing at a jaw-dropping 73% striking clip — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Djorden Santos.

Djorden Santos (11-2) enters UFC 328 having gone 1-1 in his last two fights. He dropped a unanimous decision to Osman Diaz at UFC 313 in March 2025, then bounced back with a gutsy three-round war decision win over Danny Barlow at UFC Fight Night Vancouver in October 2025 — showing real heart under fire — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Baisangur Susurkaev.

UFC 328 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 328 Odds: Baisangur Susurkaev-Djorden Santos Odds

Baisangur Susurkaev: -675

Djorden Santos: +490

Over 1.5 rounds: -166

Under 1.5 rounds: +130

Why Baisangur Susurkaev Will Win

Baisangur “Hunter” Susurkaev enters this fight as the most complete and dangerous fighter on the entire UFC 328 card, and his undefeated 10-0 record speaks for itself. Every single one of his 10 wins has come by way of finish, making him one of the most lethal prospects in the middleweight division.

Santos showed real toughness in his war with Danny Barlow, but surviving a three-round brawl with a journeyman is a far cry from what he will face against Susurkaev. “Hunter” operates at a completely different level of violence and finishing ability.

Susurkaev’s 73% striking accuracy is an absurd number at any level of MMA, and his ability to close distance and unload in combination has proven impossible to defend at the UFC level so far. Santos has already shown he can be hurt and broken down over three rounds.

The undefeated Chechen prospect also brings elite wrestling and submission grappling to the table, meaning there is no safe haven for Santos anywhere in this fight. Whether it stays standing or hits the mat, Susurkaev has the tools to dominate.

Expect “Hunter” to pour on the pressure early, back Santos against the fence, and secure a devastating TKO finish before the final horn of round two.

Why Djorden Santos Will Win

Djorden “Shakur” Santos is no stranger to adversity, and his ability to dig deep in a three-round war against Danny Barlow proved he has the chin, cardio, and heart to survive difficult moments and still come out with a win. That mental toughness will be an essential weapon against an unproven prospect like Susurkaev.

Susurkaev’s 10-0 record is impressive, but every single one of those opponents came outside the upper tier of UFC competition — Santos represents a significant step up in opposition that “Hunter” has simply never faced before. Undefeated records can be deceiving when they haven’t been truly tested.

Santos’s length, ranginess, and southpaw angles could give Susurkaev real problems early, disrupting his rhythm and preventing him from loading up with the combinations that have finished his previous opponents. If Santos can keep the fight at distance and mix in takedowns, he controls the blueprint.

Susurkaev’s aggressive, pressure-heavy style also leaves him open to counters, and a fighter of Santos’s experience could capitalize on that recklessness in the later rounds. As the harder-tested veteran in this matchup, Santos has seen levels Susurkaev simply hasn’t.

Final Baisangur Susurkaev-Djorden Santos Prediction & Pick

This is the most compelling prospect showcase on the entire UFC 328 card, and the intrigue lies in whether Santos’s battle-tested experience can neutralize one of the most dangerous finishers on the roster. Susurkaev’s undefeated finishing streak is the real storyline heading into Saturday night.

Santos will make it competitive early, using his length and southpaw stance to keep “Hunter” at range in the opening exchanges. However, Susurkaev’s pressure and forward aggression will eventually back Santos into trouble along the fence.

Once Susurkaev gets Santos pinned and starts unloading combinations, the finishing instinct takes over — it’s simply what he does at a 100% rate across ten professional fights. Santos’s chin will be tested in ways it never has been before.

The undefeated streak stays intact, and Susurkaev announces himself as a legitimate top-15 middleweight threat with another highlight-reel performance.

Final Baisangur Susurkaev-Djorden Santos Prediction & Pick: Baisangur Susurkaev (-675), Under 1.5 Rounds (+130)

The post Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Djorden Santos prediction, odds, pick for UFC 328 appeared first on ClutchPoints.