Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 116

UFC Vegas 116: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal continues on the prelims with a fight between Sedriques Dumas and Jackson McVey in the middleweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Dumas-McVey prediction and pick.

Sedriques Dumas (10-4) is aiming to rebound from a tough stretch, recently dropping a submission loss to Donte Johnson following a No Contest against Zachary Reese, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Jackson McVey.

Jackson McVey (6-2) is seeking his first UFC win, aiming to bounce back from consecutive submission losses to Zachary Reese and Brunno Ferreira after an undefeated regional run, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Sedriques Dumas.

UFC Vegas 116 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 116 Odds: Sedriques Dumas-Jackson McVey Odds

Sedriques Dumas: +164

Jackson McVey: -198

Over 1.5 rounds: +130

Under 1.5 rounds: -166

Why Sedriques Dumas Will Win

Sedriques Dumas is positioned to defeat Jackson McVey this weekend because his significant edge in high-level Octagon experience will prove too much for the relatively green prospect. While McVey boasts an imposing physical frame, he has consistently shown glaring defensive liabilities during striking exchanges by keeping his hands dangerously low and wide.

Dumas is a more polished, fluid striker who can easily exploit those defensive gaps by utilizing crisp boxing combinations from the outside. By managing the distance effectively, Dumas will completely neutralize McVey’s most dangerous weapon, which is his aggressive Thai clinch and close-range knee attacks.

Furthermore, McVey has historically demonstrated poor defensive wrestling and an inability to operate effectively when forced into deep waters. Dumas possesses the necessary fight IQ to completely avoid chaotic scrambles and systematically pick apart his taller opponent in open space over three rounds.

Whenever McVey attempts to close the distance for a desperation clinch, Dumas can utilize lateral footwork to angle out and counter with heavy right hands. This constant outside pressure will quickly drain the younger fighter’s confidence and force him into making sloppy, highly predictable striking entries.

Ultimately, this matchup boils down to whether McVey can trap a much more seasoned and elusive striker against the fence. Expect Dumas to showcase his superior stand-up game and eventually find the chin to secure a spectacular, highlight-reel knockout victory.

Why Jackson McVey Will Win

Jackson McVey is primed to defeat Sedriques Dumas this weekend because his overwhelming size and aggressive finishing instincts pose a massive problem for the veteran. At six-foot-four with a sweeping seventy-seven-inch reach, the Minnesota native possesses the exact physical attributes needed to bully Dumas from the opening bell.

While Dumas prefers to dictate the pace from the outside, McVey excels at weaponizing his heavy forward pressure to instantly trap opponents against the cage. Once he closes that distance, McVey can unleash his devastating clinch game, which perfectly neutralizes the traditional boxing combinations Dumas relies upon.

Bettors looking for an edge should recognize that McVey’s early career finish rate makes him a highly explosive threat. He boasts substantial knockout power and an incredibly opportunistic guillotine choke, meaning Dumas cannot afford a single defensive lapse in the opening round.

Furthermore, Dumas has historically struggled against fighters who refuse to respect his striking and force chaotic, high-paced scrambles. By continuously crowding the space and attacking with slicing elbows and knees, McVey will quickly drain the older fighter’s gas tank.

Ultimately, this matchup strongly favors the younger powerhouse who can successfully dictate the physical terms of engagement. Expect McVey to completely overwhelm Dumas with relentless aggression, securing a violent, statement-making finish to finally claim his first official UFC victory.

Final Sedriques Dumas-Jackson McVey Prediction & Pick

When Jackson McVey faces Sedriques Dumas at UFC Vegas 116, the sportsbooks favor the prospect’s finishing upside. However, blindly backing McVey ignores the massive defensive vulnerabilities he has historically shown against calculated strikers.

McVey is undoubtedly an explosive threat, utilizing his towering frame to pressure opponents and hunt for early highlight-reel finishes. The problem is that his relentless forward motion often leaves his chin dangerously exposed to crisp counters.

Dumas thrives when he can effectively manage the distance, using fluid footwork to capitalize on those exact defensive mistakes. While the veteran struggles against heavy grapplers, McVey’s tendency to engage in wild striking exchanges plays directly into Dumas’s hands.

Expect Dumas to weather the early physical storm before systematically picking apart the younger fighter from the outside. He will eventually find the mark with a devastating counter, cashing a valuable underdog ticket with a spectacular knockout.

Final Sedriques Dumas-Jackson McVey Prediction & Pick: Sedriques Dumas (+164), Over 1.5 Rounds (+130)

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