Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis prediction, odds, pick for UFC 328

UFC 328: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland continues on the prelims with a fight between Pat Sabatini and William Gomis in the featherweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Sabatini-Gomis prediction and pick.

Pat Sabatini (21-5) enters UFC 328 riding a three-fight winning streak and looking more dangerous than ever. The Philadelphia grappler dominated Joanderson Brito with four takedowns and over 13 minutes of control time, then swept the scorecards against Jose Mariscal at UFC 322 with seven takedowns in November 2025 — cementing himself as one of the slickest submission artists at 145 pounds as he comes into his fight this weekend against William Gomis.

William Gomis (15-3) enters UFC 328 having split his last two fights. He dropped a tight split decision to Hyder Amil at UFC Fight Night in March 2025, then bounced back with a workmanlike unanimous decision over Robert Ruchala in September 2025 — showing he can grind out wins even when not at his sharpest — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Pat Sabatini.

UFC 328 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 328 Odds: Pat Sabatini-William Gomis Odds

Pat Sabatini: -205

William Gomis: +170

Over 2.5 rounds: -160

Under 2.5 rounds: +124

Why Pat Sabatini Will Win

Pat Sabatini enters this fight on the hottest streak of his UFC career, having just dismantled two legitimate featherweights with a suffocating wrestling and submission game that nobody at 145 pounds has been able to solve. His ability to chain takedowns relentlessly — seven against Mariscal alone — makes him one of the most exhausting fighters to face in the entire division.

Gomis is a talented striker with good athleticism, but his recent split decision loss to Hyder Amil revealed that he can be neutralized by fighters who disrupt his rhythm and take away his offensive output. Sabatini does exactly that better than almost anyone in the featherweight bracket.

Once Sabatini gets his hands on Gomis and drags the fight to the mat, “The Jaguar” will be in survival mode — and Sabatini’s submission arsenal is deep enough to finish from nearly any position. His triangle chokes, guillotines, and rear-naked choke attempts have threatened everyone he has faced recently.

Gomis also carries some wear from his back-to-back competitive fights, while Sabatini is riding momentum and confidence heading into Saturday. The mental edge in this matchup firmly belongs to the Philadelphia grappler.

Why William Gomis Will Win

William “The Jaguar” Gomis possesses the kind of explosive striking and elite athleticism that gives grapplers like Sabatini real nightmares. His combination of speed, footwork, and punching power at featherweight makes him a legitimate threat to finish the fight on the feet before Sabatini ever gets comfortable.

Sabatini’s grappling-heavy style is well-scouted at this point in his career, and Gomis’s camp will have had months to prepare a specific takedown defense game plan. “The Jaguar” has shown the ability to stuff takedowns when properly motivated and keyed in on an opponent’s tendencies.

Gomis’s 15-3 record includes victories over some quality featherweight opposition, and his experience fighting high-level Europeans and international competition has seasoned him for exactly this type of high-stakes UFC prelim matchup. He is no stranger to adversity and big moments.

Sabatini’s three-fight winning streak has come against opponents who struggled to keep the fight standing — Gomis is a different animal entirely in terms of striking output and finishing ability. One clean combination could change the entire complexion of this fight.

Final Pat Sabatini-William Gomis Prediction & Pick

This featherweight matchup is one of the most stylistically fascinating bouts on the entire UFC 328 card, pitting one of the division’s most relentless grapplers against one of its most explosive strikers. The first 60 seconds will tell the story — if Gomis lands clean early, Sabatini could be in trouble.

However, Sabatini’s wrestling pressure is simply too consistent and too high-volume for Gomis to avoid all night. The moment “The Jaguar” gets taken down and pinned against the mat, Sabatini’s submission game becomes the most dangerous weapon in the building.

Gomis will have his moments on the feet and flash that knockout power that makes him so dangerous, but Sabatini’s relentless pace and chain wrestling will wear him down over three rounds. The grappling simply neutralizes too much of what makes Gomis elite.

Sabatini’s momentum, finishing instinct, and submission depth make him the pick here.

Final Pat Sabatini-William Gomis Prediction & Pick: Pat Sabatini (-205), Over 2.5 Rounds (-160)

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