Best betting promos and sportsbooks for MLB prop bets [June 4, 2026]

The Houston Astros face off against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday night.

In his first start of the year, Jared Jones severely underwhelmed, giving up five Earned Runs and seven Hits Against in four innings against the Minnesota Twins.

Unfortunately for Jones, his struggles on the mound are poised to persist against the Houston Astros, battling it out against a lineup who resides near the top of the board in most offensive metrics.

With nine games taking the field on Thursday, there are a wide range of prop bets and markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

Best betting promos and sportsbooks for MLB prop bets

Find the best promos and sportsbooks to use for today’s MLB prop bets.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros (8:10pm, EST)

Jared Jones Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It was as rough of a start to the year as it could get for Jared Jones as the Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher finished his first outing with an ERA of 10.38, a WHIP of 2.077, and a FIP of 7.71.

Jones’ struggles on the mound can be attributed to his high opposing Contact Rate, giving up nearly two Hits Against per Inning Pitched.

Unfortunately for Jones, his struggles with avoiding contact will be on full display against the Houston Astros as he faces off against a lineup who ranks well above league average in Hit Rate and in Strikeout Rate.

Especially with his back end widening the width of the Astros gaps in the outfield with their underwhelming coverage, surrounding Jones with a group who ranks in the bottom ten in Fielding Percentage.

Jared Jones Under 15.5 Total Outs (-185) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With the Astros consistently making contact and getting into scoring position from the opening pitch, Jones will be vulnerable to another quick exit off the mound, keeping him under the total on his Outs prop.

If the total on Jones’ Outs prop crosses through the key number of N/A, then reduce the size of your wager.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40pm, EST)

Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-152) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Ryne Nelson has been unable to find his footing, kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 4.82 and a FIP of 5.45.

Even though Nelson is giving up less than one Hit Against per inning, his lack of aggression leaves him vulnerable to putting runners on base at an alarming rate, generating less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

In a daunting matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers, expect Nelson to continue to struggle with creating Whiffs as he faces off against a star studded offense who ranks third overall in Hit Rate while leading the league in On Base Percentage.

For some more exposure, escalator bet Nelson’s Strikeout prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate unders at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Hits (+160) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After playing at a high level last year, Freddie Freeman has been able to build on his momentum this season, generating more than one Hit per game, a .276 Batting Average, and a .830 OPS.

With Nelson struggling to punch out while attacking the plate, Freeman will be able to consistently barrel up the ball and clear the over on his Hits prop.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies (1:05pm, EST)

San Diego Padres Team Total Under 3.5 (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After shaking up their lineup in the offseason, the San Diego Padres have severely struggled on offense, crashing down to the bottom of the board in Hit Rate, RBIs, and in Runs Scored.

Their lack of production on offense brings in a high amount of negative variance into their contests, making it difficult for them to pull away on the scoreboard which drastically lowers their chances of winning.

Heading into Thursday’s matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies, expect the Padres to continue to struggle with getting into scoring position as they battle it out against Zack Wheeler who is averaging an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 0.847.

Especially with the Phillies back end breaking out of their slump to help give Wheeler the support he needs to keep a clean sheet, climbing into the top half of the board in Fielding Percentage.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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