5 Overvalued Fantasy Football Wide Receivers Based On 2026 ADP

In order for the manager of a fantasy football team to win their league, they have to find value. Multiple receivers are primed to break out for fantasy owners in 2026.

Meanwhile, some receivers could be complete busts based on where they are drafted. In 2025, Justin Jefferson was a top-5 pick, being selected as WR2, but he finished WR28. Marvin Harrison Jr. of the Arizona Cardinals was drafted as WR18, but was WR41. Ladd McConkey was drafted at WR11, but was WR30, finishing behind players drafted nearly 130 spots after him.

A wasted pick could be a disaster for a fantasy football manager, and these five receivers could be slated to be well overdrafted.

Malik Nabers | New York Giants

Malik Nabers is being drafted in the third round in most leagues, and as WR12 in most leagues as well. That means he is being drafted to be a WR1 in a 12-team league. Nabers was targeted 25 times in the first two games of the 2025 season, and then seven times in Week 3. He also had his breakout game in Week 2. Nabers hauled in nine receptions on 13 targets, for 167 yards and two touchdowns. That made him WR2 in standard and PPR leagues. It was his only top 25 performance of the year, after he was injured in the Week 4 game against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Now, Nabers is coming off a torn ACL and being drafted as a top wide receiver. He has shown some flashes in training camp that he will come back strong, but Nabers is not yet at full speed. For a player who has a track record of just three full games, and only one game performing like a top receiver for a fantasy team drafting him to be the top receiver on a fantasy team would be a major risk.

Rashee Rice | Kansas City Chiefs

Rashee Rice is being drafted 26th overall and as the WR11 in a PPR league, while coming in at pick 34 and WR13 in a standard league. Rice missed the first six games of the year due to a suspension, but came back strong. He was WR9 three times, WR3 once, and WR2 once in standard leagues before his season ended due to a concussion. In PPR leagues, he was WR2 twice and WR6 once.

Regardless, the Chiefs will have a new offensive scheme this year. Matt Nagy consistently used a high target and shorter passing game with his wide receivers last year. Eric Bieniemy is the new offensive coordinator, and during his first stint with the Chiefs, wide receivers averaged more than nine yards downfield per target. Last year, Rice was 80th in the NFL in average depth of target at just 4.9 yards downfield. With the change in the style of passing game under Bieniemy, Rice’s role could change drastically. Add in the multiple other targets on the team, including Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy, plus Kenneth Walker III in the backfield, and Rice may not see as many opportunities.

Further, paying a third-round price tag for a receiver that is both rehabbing from knee surgery and has off-the-field concerns is a lot to ask.

Mike Evans | San Francisco 49ers

Mike Evans is not being drafted high in many leagues. His ADP in standard leagues is 61 while it is 64 in PPR leagues. That places him going in the fifth or sixth round, and as a second wide receiver for a team. In years past, getting a player like Evans as a second wide receiver was a recipe for a championship, but this year, he may not be worth the pick. Evans has missed time in each of the last two seasons with injuries, and with the fact that he will be 33-years old when the season starts, it would not be surprising if that was an issue again.

Meanwhile, when Evans was healthy last year, he was not worth being picked in the fifth or sixth round. In standard leagues, he was a top 25 receiver just once, when he was WR11 in Week 15. He was also in the top 30 just three other times, meaning he was rarely even a flex option. It was similar in PPR leagues, where he was a top 25 WR just twice, ranking as WR23 in Week 16. Drafting Evans and expecting the production of years gone past could be a massive mistake for fantasy owners.

Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions

Jameson Williams was a boom-or-bust player in 2025. He finished as WR9 or better five times in standard leagues and four times in PPR leagues. He was WR50 or worse six times in standard leagues, and seven times in PPR leagues. Overall, he finished as WR18 last year with the ups and downs. Many of the great games for Williams came late in the season, after Sam LaPorta went down.

LaPorta last played in Week 10 against the Washington Commanders. In the first nine games of the year, covering weeks one through ten, Williams was WR46 and had a target share of just 14.9 percent. That went up to 18.5 percent after the injury to LaPorta, and he was WR11 in that time. Williams is being drafted at an ADP of 57 and WR23. That is a player who is projected to be a second wide receiver on most fantasy teams. With LaPorta back in the lineup, and the volatility he has already shown in his career, banking on him to be more than a WR3 on a team every week would be risky.

Carnell Tate | Tennessee Titans 

Finding quality rookie players is a key in Fantasy Football. One of the rookies getting a lot of hype is Carnell Tate of the Tennessee Titans. Tate is currently being drafted at an ADP of 71 in standard leagues and 67 in PPR leagues. In both formats, he is being drafted as WR30. While that is not projecting to be a consistent starting wideout in two-WR formats, he is being projected as a bye-week player and a flex option.

Tate has all the talent to be a top-end wide receiver after being selected with the fourth overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. Still, there are a lot of potential issues. First, Brian Daboll’s offensive units do not spread the ball around much. Last year, with the New York Giants, only three different players had over 50 targets. One of those was Wan’Dale Robinson, who led the team with 140 targets. He is now a member of the Titans and with Daboll.

In Daboll’s entire time with the Giants, every year the team had either three or four players with 50 or more targets. Each season, it was just two wide receivers who had 50 or more targets. Meanwhile, a tight end and running back would also have 50 or more receptions. With Robinson on the Titans roster, plus Calvin Ridley as the other top receiver, targets for Tate could be limited. With limited targets, taking Tate may not be worth a sixth-round pick.

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