Title race permutations for Man City vs Burnley and what rearranged game means for Arsenal

Apr 22, 2026 - 14:00
Title race permutations for Man City vs Burnley and what rearranged game means for Arsenal

The Premier League title race can take its biggest turn of the season tonight, as Manchester City aim to become the frontrunners.

Arsenal have now spent 209 days at the top of the table this term, completely dominating the top-flight all campaign.

Erling Haaland (9) of Manchester City celebrates with his team mates at the final whistle at the end of the Premier League match between Manchester City and Arsenal
Man City can assume control of the title race with a win over Burnley
Shutterstock Editorial

Compare that to Man City, they’ve only been top for six days, showing just how clear the Gunners have been of their rivals.

However, despite those stunning stats, it’s Pep Guardiola‘s side who will now believe they’re favourites to win the title, following a pivotal 2-1 victory over their bitter rivals last weekend.

And Wednesday evening could end up being the deciding factor…

How Man City vs Burnley can impact title race

If an City beat Burnley, live on talkSPORT, they will leapfrog Arsenal and lead the Premier League on goal difference.

Currently, the Gunners are on 70 points and +37 goal difference.

City are on 67 points and +36 goal difference, with a 1-0 win enough to move them top, as they have a higher number of goals scored.

Anything more than a 1-0 win for Guardiola’s men would see them go clear at the summit of the table on goal difference alone.

But if they lose or draw to Burnley, Arsenal remain in front and would just need to better City’s results in the final five games of the season to get their hands on the Premier League trophy.

However, Man City look sure to win against their 19th-placed opponents, considering the stunning form they’re in.

And if they do, the final five games will be a straight shootout.

The Premier League title race is going to go right down to the wire

Man City and Arsenal's remaining fixtures

Manchester City

  • Burnley (A) – 22/04
  • Everton (A) – 04/05
  • Brentford (H) – 09/05
  • Bournemouth (A) – 17/05
  • Crystal Palace (H) – 22/05
  • Aston Villa (H) – 24/05

Arsenal

  • Newcastle (H) – 25/04
  • Fulham (H) – 02/05
  • West Ham (A) – 10/05
  • Burnley (H) – 17/05
  • Crystal Palace (A) – 24/05

Premier League title race permutations

Should Man City beat Burnley, they will know that five wins in their final five games would likely be enough to win the title.

However, Arsenal would still have a chance to regain top spot on goal difference if they win every game, but pull off better results.

Of course, the ease of that task will depend on how much City boost their goal difference in their game in hand against Burnley…

One slip-up from either team would make things interesting though, with there still being potential for more late drama.

City have tough clashes against Brentford, Bournemouth and Aston Villa to come, while the Gunners arguably have ideal fixtures.

A loss from either side would allow the other to move clear should they win or draw their game on the same weekend.

Declan Rice reacts during Arsenal's defeat to Manchester City
Arsenal will find themselves on the back foot if City beat Burnley
AFP

Man City vs Burnley: talkSPORT coverage

Man City vs Burnley will take place at 8pm on Wednesday, April 22.

talkSPORT will have exclusive live coverage of the game, presented by Adrian Durham from Turf Moor.

Commentary will be coming from Sam Matterface and former Aston Villa captain Andy Townsend.

To tune in to talkSPORT or talkSPORT 2 through the website, click HERE for the live stream

You can also listen via the talkSPORT app, on DAB digital radio, through your smart speaker and on 1089 or 1053 AM.

What's Your Reaction?

Like Like 0
Dislike Dislike 0
Love Love 0
Funny Funny 0
Angry Angry 0
Sad Sad 0
Wow Wow 0