Best betting promos and sportsbooks for NFL prop bets [January 17, 2026]

The Buffalo Bills kick off the Divisional Round with a highly anticipated matchup against the Denver Broncos.

Since the start of the regular season, the Denver Broncos have been one of the best teams in the league as they excel on both sides of the ball. In a Divisional Round matchup against the Buffalo Bills, expect Bo Nix to continue to thrive as he faces off against a front seven who struggles to generate pressure in the backfield.

Even though there are only two games taking place on Saturday, there are still plenty of prop bets and markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

Best betting promos and sportsbooks for NFL prop bets

Find the best promos and sportsbooks to use for today’s Wildcard Round prop bets.

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos (4:30pm, EST)

Bo Nix Over 20.5 Pass Completions (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While Denver’s defense have hogged the spotlight, Bo Nix has quietly played at a very high level as the Broncos signal caller heads into the Divisional Round ranked above league average in Quarterback EPA per Play.

The protection Nix receives from his offensive line has helped limit the amount of Havoc in his throws as Nix also resides in the top half of the board in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.

In a highly anticipated matchup against the Buffalo Bills, Nix will be able to put together an efficient performance as he faces off against a front seven who ranks in the bottom ten in Pass Rush Win Rate.

With the Bills struggling to get Nix out of the pocket, the quality of his throws will improve which increases his chances of connecting with his pass catchers.

Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+330) at FanDuel Sportsbook

When in scoring position, Troy Franklin has been a reliable pass catcher for Nix to throw to as the Broncos wide receiver has been able to haul in 14 of his 17 Red Zone Targets.

With the Bills defense ranking below league average in Def DVOA and in EPA, Franklin will be able to generate a higher volume of Targets which increases the probability of him finding the back of the end zone.

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks (8:00pm, EST)

Sam Darnold Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

In his first year with Seattle, Sam Darnold has been able to turn the Seahawks offense into a formidable unit as the number one seed in the NFC are listed in the top-10 in Off DVOA.

Darnold’s ability to stretch out the secondary while avoiding high variance situations has helped the Seahawks sustain their drives down the field as he ranks near the top of the board in Big Time Throw Percentage.

In a NFC West divisional matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, Darnold will be able to build on his momentum as he faces off against a defensive line who ranks 27th in Pass Rush PFF Grade.

For some more exposure, escalator bet Darnold’s Passing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

Kenneth Walker Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook

After a hot start to the year, Kenneth Walker has fallen hard back down to reality as he currently ranks below league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.

A stunning turnaround when factoring in the support he receives from his offensive line as the Seahawks front five ranks in the top half of the board in Run Block Set Grade.

Fortunately for Walker, positive regression looms large in Saturday’s playoff matchup against the Bills as he faces off against a front seven who struggles to stop the run as their near dead last mark in Run Defense Line Yards indicates.

With the Bills struggling to clog the running lanes in the trenches, expect Walker to consistently reach the second level of their defense and generate explosive runs at a high rate.

AJ Barner Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+177) at Caesars Sportsbook

While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been the focal point of the Seahawks offense when near the goal line, AJ Barner has nearly matched his output while converting 50% of his Red Zone Receptions into touchdowns.

With JSN pulling defensive attention away from him, expect Barner to continue to take advantage of the single coverage he receives and create a high quality passing lane for Darnold to throw to.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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