The Atlanta Falcons (1-2) and New Orleans Saints (1-2) headline Monday Night Football in a battle of NFC South contenders. Atlanta is coming off a 35-14 win over Green Bay on Thursday Night Football, so they have the slight rest advantage in back-to-back primetime games. New Orleans is fresh off a 35-27 loss to Las Vegas where they committed four turnovers and blew a 27-22 lead.
New Orleans is looking for a cleaner effort in Week 4. Tyler Shough lost two fumbles, threw an interception, and Juwan Johnson fumbled as well. Shough did toss a career-high four touchdowns and Johnson caught two of those, so it wasn’t all doom and gloom with the Saints offense. The Saints averaged 5.3 yards per and ran 72 plays, the second-most on the season behind 86 in the season-opener. New Orleans will try to get off to a quick start as they’ve trailed at the half in all three games and allowed 37 first half points, including 16 last week.
Atlanta looked much better offensively with Michael Penix. The Falcons had one touchdown through two weeks and scored five times against Green Bay on Thursday Night Football. Atlanta enters the week rank second in success rate on defense and ranks fifth in points per possession allowed (1.59). The Falcons defense has been the backbone of this team so far, but with Penix back, the offensive stars showed up and stepped up Drake London caught nine out of 10 passes for 194 yards versus Green Bay and Bijan Robinson ran wild with 194 yards (213 total yards) and two touchdowns on 29 carries.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.
Game details and how to watch Falcons at Saints
· Date: Monday, October 5, 2026
· Time: 8:15 PM ET
· Site: Caesars Superdome Field
· City: New Orleans, LA
· TV/Streaming: ESPN
NBC Sports is your home for all the latest updates on this matchup, featuring live odds, player news, expert analysis, and predictions.
Latest Game Odds for Falcons at Saints
The latest odds courtesy of DraftKings:
· Moneyline: New Orleans Saints (-130), Atlanta Falcons (+110)
· Spread: Saints -1.5
· Total: 47.5
The look ahead for this game was Saints -2.5. The total moved up from 45.5, which is likely due to the Falcons upgrade at quarterback last week.
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Expert picks & predictions for Falcons at Saints
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the Under in a divisional matchup:
“The 35 points that Atlanta scored against the Packers won’t be a weekly occurrence nor will the Saints 27 versus the Raiders. The last three meetings resulted in 37 or fewer points and went Under in three of the last four in New Orleans. I would have to lean the Under and expect the familiarity of these teams to lean toward an Under with multiple turnovers between the two offenses.”
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Falcons at Saints betting trends and stats
- Atlanta is 1-2 ATS and 2-1 to the Under
- New Orleans is 2-1 ATS and 2-1 to the Over
- Atlanta was 8-8-1 ATS in 2025 and 8-8-1 on the total
- Carolina was sixth-best to the Over in 2025 at 11-7
- The Saints are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 divisional games
- The Falcons are 5-8 ATS in their last 13 divisional games
- The Saints are 6-6 to the Over in their past 12 games
- The Falcons are 7-6 to the Over I their past 13 games
Quarterback matchup for Falcons at Saints
· Atlanta: Michael Penix – Penix was shaky in the first quarter of the 2026 debut versus the Packers with an early interception, but turned it around quickly finishing with 256 yards on 18-of-25 passing (72%) with one touchdown and one pick. Penix led the offense to five touchdown on 11 drives scoring 17 in the first half and 18 in the second. The offense converted 6-of-10 third downs and averaged 7.5 yards per play.
· New Orleans: Tyler Shough – Shough threw a career-high four passing touchdowns and completed 29 out of 42 passes (69.1%) for 255 yards in a loss to the Raiders. Through three games, Shough ranks third in passing yards (917) and passing touchdowns (8). The Saints outgained the Raiders in yards, 381-340, and averaged 5.3 yards per play.
Falcons at Saints Injury Update
- Saints WR Jordyn Tyson (hamstring) was placed on the IR
- Saints WR Mason Tipton (leg) is on IR
- Saints TE Noah Fant (abdomen) is questionable
- Saints LB Carl Granderson (ankle) is out
- Saints LB Anfernee Jennings (knee) is out
- Saints LB Kaden Ellis (calf) is out
- Saints LB Pete Werner (neck) is questionable
- Falcons LB Divine Deablo (hamstring) is questionable
- Falcons LB Samson Ebukam (hamstring) is questionable
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- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
