Stevenage vs Stockport prediction and betting tips – The Hatters on top

May 9, 2026 - 08:45

Stevenage host Stockport in the League One play-off semi-finals on Saturday afternoon with the first leg vital to help decide who heads to Wembley later this month.

Stevenage vs Stockport best bets

Bet on Stockport to win and over 2.5 goals at 3.15/1 on Sky Bet
Back over 2.5 Stockport goals at 7/1 on bet365
Back Stockport to win and Oliver Norwood 1+ SOT at 4/1 on bet365

Stevenage vs Stockport head to head overview

Date: Saturday, 9th May 2026
Kick-off: 3pm
Venue: The Lamex Stadium
Where to watch: Sky Sports Football and Main Event
Referee: Charles Breakspear
Last meeting: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Last 10 matches: Stevenage 6 wins, Stockport 2 wins, 1 draw (9 games only)
Favourite to win: Stevenage

Stevenage vs Stockport predicted lineups

Stevenage expected lineup: Marschall; Goode, Sweeney, Freestone; Pattenden, Phillips, White, Roberts; Kemp; Phillips, Reid.
Stockport expected lineup: Hinchliffe; Dacres-Cogley, Hills, Pye; Diamond, Bate, Norwood, Osborn; Sidibeh, Stokes, Wootton.

Stevenage vs Stockport predictions

Stevenage relied on a last minute winner against Wigan to claim the final play-off spot in League One, finishing just a point above Luton, who were hoping to get into the play-offs themselves with a spectacular run of form at the end of the 2025/26 campaign.

Interestingly, none of the teams who finished in the play-offs won three in their last five, only Stevenage and Stockport won twice recently, with Stockport losing twice and winning twice.

This just to suggest, there’s no guarantees in this league this year and as such is wide open especially given how close all teams finished to each other.

Stevenage vs Stockport odds, betting tips, prediction, lineups and more!

Stevenage vs Stockport betting tips

Goals favour Stockport?

Stockport scored three goals in three of their last five games, going goalless against Mansfield and scoring just once and losing to already relegated Port Vale.

When playing Bolton in what looked like a play-off decider they drew 2-2 in a thriller that could be replicated at Wembley if both teams progress.

The game saw both sides equalise and go in front at different stages in the game and even saw Louie Barry sent off in the final minute.

Stockport also scored three in two successive games prior to that against Wimbledon and Wycombe.

Stevenage needed a win against a Wigan side not fighting for much and had to rely on a last minute winner to send them here.

And have been part of many 1-0’s this season but more so recently, either winning or losing by this scoreline in six of their last ten games.

They did beat Stockport 2-1 back in February, only the second game in which they scored two in their last 14 matches, the only other coming against Lincoln.

As such it looks a great bet to see Stockport come out on top in this clash.

Stevenage did the double over Stockport this season, also winning 3-1 away from home in the reverse fixture back in December, but prior to that Stockport won 3-0 at home last season, suggesting another game ending in over 2.5 goals.

Players to watch

Going for Stockport means looking at their potential goalscorers which will likely be Kyle Wootton who has managed 18 goals so far this season playing in all 46 games.

Of the 46 he was only a substitute for two of them but always had at least 45 minutes game time.

He’s a safe bet to be involved with in some way whether it be shots on target or goalscorer.

Another player likely to get on target and at potentially much higher odds is set-piece expert Oliver Norwood.

The 35-year-old brings a wealth of experience and consistency having played 41 games this season, scoring eight and assisting 11 in League One.

This game in February also saw as many as seven cards and with everything on the line it wouldn’t be surprising to see a similar kind of outcome with plenty of cards – all seven cards came after the 68th minute.

Bet on Stockport to win and over 2.5 goals at 3.15/1 on Sky Bet
Back over 2.5 Stockport goals at 7/1 on bet365
Back Stockport to win and Oliver Norwood 1+ SOT at 4/1 on bet365

Stevenage vs Stockport latest odds

Find the latest Stevenage vs Stockport betting odds here. Odds are provided by Sky Bet and are subject to change.

Stevenage – 29/20
Draw – 11/5
Stockport – 7/4

More Play-Offs predictions

Find more predictions and betting tips from our expert punters in our match previews on the Premier League, Champions League, Championship, League One and more!

Important historical facts about Stevenage vs Stockport for betting

As previously mentioned Stevenage won both of their League One games against Stockport in the 2025-26 league season.

They are one of four teams they completed a league double over, along with Blackpool, Peterborough and Port Vale.

Stockport lost both league games against Stevenage in 2025-26, one of three teams that beat them twice along with Bradford and Lincoln. They’ve played five away games in all competitions against Stevenage and lost all five.

Stockport are featuring in a second consecutive League One play-off campaign, going out on penalties to Leyton Orient after a 3-3 aggregate draw last season. The Hatters have only won the first leg in one of their seven previous play-off semi-finals (D4 L2), beating Stoke 1-0 in 1991-92.

Stockport County finished 3rd in League One in 2025-26 with 77 points, the lowest total for a side that high at this level since 2005-06, when Brentford came 3rd on 76. They were also 3rd in 2024-25, becoming the third team to do so in back-to-back third tier seasons, along with Hull City in 1983-84 and 1984-85 and Bristol City in 2002-03 and 2003-04.

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