Best betting promos and sportsbooks for NFL prop bets [January 25, 2026]

The New England Patriots face off against the Denver Broncos in the AFC Conference Championship.

Even though the Denver Broncos managed to beat Buffalo in overtime, they suffered a massive loss in the process as it was announced Bo Nix suffered a season ending injury at the final moments of the game. Even with Jarrett Stidham at quarterback, expect the Broncos to keep it close against the New England Patriots in the AFC Conference Championship as their defense excels at all three levels of the field.

Even though there are only two playoff games taking place on Sunday, there are still plenty of markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

Best betting promos and sportsbooks for NFL prop bets

Find the best promos and sportsbooks to use for today’s conference championship prop bets.

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos (3:00pm, EST)

Drake Maye Under 226.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Drake Maye has built a strong case for winning the MVP award as the New England Patriots second year quarterback ranks in the top-5 in Adjusted EPA per Play.

His accurate downfield throws have played a major role in the Patriots success this season as Maye also ranks ninth overall in Big Time Throw Percentage.

In a daunting matchup against Denver, expect Maye to fall hard back down to reality as he faces off against a Broncos defense who excels at collapsing the pocket shortly after the snap as their above league average mark in Pass Rush Win Rate indicates.

With the Broncos generating pressure at a high rate, the width of Maye’s passing lanes will drastically narrow which will lead to early outs at the expense of Maye’s passing yards.

Drake Maye Over 0.5 Interception (+105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With less time in the pocket to operate, Maye will be forced to weave the ball through tight windows which increases the amount of Havoc in his throws.

Especially with the Broncos expected to have a defender on the Patriots pass catchers hips for the full duration of their routes as their secondary ranks near the top of the board in Def DVOA, EPA, and in Coverage Grade.

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks (6:30pm, EST)

Sam Darnold Over 19.5 Pass Completions (-118) at Caesars Sportsbook

While Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford have hogged the spotlight in regard to competing for the MVP award, Sam Darnold has quietly been just as productive as he rivals both quarterbacks in Quarterback EPA per Play.

His efficiency has helped turn the Seahawks offense into a formidable unit as Darnold ranks in the top-5 in Completion Percentage Over Expected and in Air Yards per Reception.

Heading into Sunday night, expect Darnold to build on his momentum as he faces off against the Los Angeles Rams who continue to stumble down the board in Pass Rush Line Yards.

With Darnold being able to set his feet instead of having to throw on the run, the quality of his throws will improve which increases his chances of connecting with his pass catchers.

Kenneth Walker Under 87.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Even though Kenneth Walker managed to run for over 1,000 yards in the regular season, he has been very inefficient with his Carries as the Seahawks running back ranks well below league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.

A stunning performance from Walker when factoring in the running lanes his offensive line provides as the Seahawks front five sits near the top of the board in Run Block Set Grade.

Unfortunately for Walker, his struggles in the backfield are poised to persist on Sunday night as he faces off against a Rams front seven who leads the league in Run Defense PFF Grade.

For some more exposure, escalator bet Walker’s Rushing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate unders.

AJ Barner Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When in scoring position, AJ Barner has been very efficient with his opportunities as the Seahawks tight end has hauled in 10 of his 13 Red Zone Targets while converting 50% of his Receptions into touchdowns.

With the Seahawks pass catchers getting to have more time in the open field to break away from the Rams coverage due to their lack of pressure, expect Barner to continue to create high quality passing lanes in the end zone and haul one in for six.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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