UFC Vegas 122: 5 Underdogs Drawing Sharp Money This Weekend

Su Young You and Chelsea Chandler headline the potential sharp money plays for this weekend’s UFC Vegas 122, with both underdogs attracting a substantial majority of dollars despite receiving a minority of tickets. Jasmine Jasudavicius and Joaquin Buckley also stand out, while several favorites show larger wagers reinforcing their ticket support.

The splits for reveal where money and ticket counts diverge. Handle represents dollars wagered; bet percentage represents the number of tickets. A sizable handle advantage indicates larger wagers on average, but it does not identify professional bettors by itself. Sharp betting is also price-dependent, and respected bettors can take opposing sides at different numbers.

All odds and percentages below come from the supplied snapshot rather than independently verified live prices.

The strongest discrepancy belongs to Su Young You against Cody Chovancek. You is listed at +114 and receives 80% of the handle on just 32% of bets a 48-percentage-point gap.

Chovancek, meanwhile, attracts 68% of tickets at -135 but only 20% of the money. That is a pronounced disagreement between ticket volume and dollar volume: most wagers back the favorite, while most money backs the underdog.

For a betting analyst screening this card, You deserves the first look. His support is not simply a popular underdog generating plenty of small wagers. The supplied percentages show substantially larger average stakes on his side.

Chelsea Chandler presents a similar setup against Melissa Croden. Chandler’s +260 moneyline draws 68% of the handle despite receiving only 23% of tickets, producing a 45-point gap.

Croden attracts 77% of bets as the -325 favorite but accounts for just 32% of the money. Chandler therefore ranks second by handle-minus-bets discrepancy, with the dollar majority opposing the ticket majority. That makes her a notable potential sharp underdog not an automatic upset prediction.

Jasudavicius, Buckley and Anheliger Offer Additional Underdog Signals

Jasmine Jasudavicius is another prominent contrarian position against Erin Blanchfield. At +260, Jasudavicius receives 53% of the handle on 28% of bets, a 25-point discrepancy.

Blanchfield’s -325 price attracts 72% of tickets but only 47% of dollars. Although Jasudavicius has a narrower money majority than You or Chandler, she still attracts more than half the handle while accounting for fewer than one-third of wagers.

Joaquin Buckley follows closely at +114 against Mike Malott. Buckley holds 90% of the handle and 66% of tickets a 24-point gap. Unlike the three underdogs above, Buckley already has the ticket majority. His signal reflects larger wagers reinforcing a popular selection rather than money opposing the crowd.

Chad Anheliger also warrants attention at +136 against Steven Koslow. Anheliger draws 61% of the money on 40% of bets, creating a 21-point gap. Koslow receives 60% of tickets at -162 but only 39% of handle.

Other underdog discrepancies are smaller:

● Marc-Andre Barriault (+170): 35% of handle versus 22% of bets, a 13-point gap.

● Tanner Boser (+195): 38% of handle versus 26% of bets, a 12-point gap.

● Mackenzie Stiller (+215): 20% of handle versus 9% of bets, an 11-point gap.

Those fighters attract larger wagers relative to their opponents, but none holds the outright handle majority seen with the leading underdog signals.

Galanti and Nallo Stand Out Among the Favorites

Nick Galanti has the largest favorite-side discrepancy. His -675 moneyline against Julien Leblanc receives 99% of the handle and 79% of bets, a 20-point gap. Mandel Nallo follows at -278 against Nate Landwehr, drawing 96% of dollars on 77% of tickets a 19-point difference.

Cristian Perez also attracts disproportionate money against Kyle Nelson. Perez receives 92% of handle and 78% of bets at -340, producing a 14-point gap.

These are meaningful larger-wager signals, but overwhelming handle does not establish that an expensive favorite is worth its current price. The distinction between backing a likely winner and obtaining a favorable number remains central to sharp betting.

The priority watchlist is You and Chandler for the strongest contrarian discrepancies, followed by Jasudavicius, Buckley and Anheliger. Galanti and Nallo lead the favorite-side angles. Without opening odds, wager counts or a timestamped price history, however, these splits cannot establish reverse line movement or confirm professional action. They identify where larger stakes are concentrated not which bets are guaranteed to deliver value.