Contender Series 2026 Week 10 continues with a fight between Douglas da Lapa and Davi Cabral in the middleweight division. Check out our Contender Series odds series for our Lapa-Cabral prediction and pick.
Douglas da Lapa (6-0) is undefeated as a pro, with five wins by KO or TKO. He stopped Emerson Richard in Round 2 at LFA 234 and Jhonathan Elias Machado in Round 2 at LFA 216, both with punches. Round 2 stoppages by ground-and-pound or strikes are his trend, as he comes into his fight this week against Davi Cabral.
Davi Cabral (7-0) is also undefeated, winning a split decision over Perry Stargel at PFC 53 in July, which was his first fight to go the distance since his early career. Before that, he stopped J.R. Hicks with punches in 53 seconds of Round 1 at PFC 50. Early finishes are his trend, as he comes into his fight this week against Douglas da Lapa.
Contender Series Week 10 Odds, courtesy of BetOnline.
Contender Series Week 10 Odds: Douglas da Lapa-Davi Cabral Odds
Douglas da Lapa: -205
Davi Cabral: +177
Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (free trial)Why Douglas da Lapa Will Win
Douglas da Lapa arrives at Contender Series Week 10 with a 6-0 professional record. Five of those wins came by KO or TKO, and one went to a decision.
That finishing rate is the core of his case. He has shown he can win by stoppage without being limited to one route.
At 27, he is the same age as Cabral, so the edge has to come from skill and size. Da Lapa is listed at 1.91 m (about 6'3″) at 83 kg, a long frame for the division.
That length should help him control distance and land clean strikes. If he keeps Cabral at the end of his punches, he can do damage before Cabral gets inside.
Cabral is 7-0 and just won a split decision over Perry Stargel in July. That fight suggests he can be hit and taken the distance, which is the opening da Lapa wants.
His most realistic path is a patient first round. He should pick his shots, use his reach, and build toward a late stoppage. Cabral's unbeaten record makes this a real test, so da Lapa cannot afford to get careless.
Why Davi Cabral Will Win
Davi Cabral enters Contender Series Week 10 unbeaten at 7-0, which gives him a slightly deeper résumé than Douglas da Lapa's 6-0. That extra experience is the first pillar of his case.
His last five fights were all wins, and the most recent was a July 18 split decision over Perry Stargel. That fight shows he can win a close contest and stay composed when it goes the distance.
Da Lapa has five KO or TKO wins, so Cabral cannot be careless early. His best approach is to respect da Lapa's length, stay compact, and make the first round about timing rather than power.
Cabral is ranked among the top middleweights on Fight Matrix, and da Lapa's last opponent was unranked. That suggests Cabral has faced the stiffer competition, though the sources don't establish the quality of every opponent.
His most realistic path is to close the distance, force da Lapa to fight from the inside, and win rounds with steady pressure. If da Lapa slows down, Cabral can take over late. Da Lapa's power keeps this competitive, so Cabral still has to avoid the big shots.
Article Continues BelowFinal Douglas da Lapa-Davi Cabral Prediction & Pick
Douglas da Lapa is my pick to win by TKO, with his striking offering the clearest route to victory. He enters unbeaten at 6-0 against the 7-0 Davi Cabral, making this a test for both prospects.
Da Lapa’s knockout-heavy résumé supports backing him if the exchanges remain standing. Cabral brings a Brazilian jiu-jitsu foundation and punching power, so avoiding prolonged grappling sequences will be essential.
The approach for da Lapa is controlled aggression rather than chasing an immediate finish. He should establish distance, attack available openings, and reset before Cabral can turn striking exchanges into clinches.
Cabral’s most realistic response is to close space and force a grappling battle. That threat makes defensive positioning more important than simply throwing harder.
I expect da Lapa to create the cleaner finishing opportunity once Cabral starts committing forward. A second-round stoppage is the prediction and a contract to follow for Douglas da Lapa.
Final Douglas da Lapa-Davi Cabral Prediction & Pick: Douglas da Lapa (-205)