4 teams most likely to qualify for T20 World Cup 2026 semifinals

The T20 World Cup 2026, co-hosted by India and Sri Lanka from February 7 to March 8, has reached an exciting stage with the Super Eights underway. After intense competition among 20 teams, only eight remain in contention for the prestigious trophy. While every side dreams of lifting the cup, only four will advance to the semi-finals. Based on current form and momentum, South Africa, Sri Lanka, India, and West Indies appear to be the strongest contenders.

Here are the four teams that most likely to qualify for T20 World Cup 2026 semifinals

New Zealand

New Zealand could be one of the strong contenders to qualify for the semi-finals of the T20 World Cup 2026. The Black Caps have built a reputation over the years for being consistent performers in ICC tournaments. The team is led by Mitchell Santner, whose calm approach and tactical awareness provide stability. New Zealand’s batting unit has been in sublime form during the group stage. Players like Tim Seifert, Rachin Ravindra, Finn Allen, and Glenn Phillips have delivered impactful performances.

In the group stage, New Zealand secured convincing wins over Canada, the United Arab Emirates, and Afghanistan. Their only defeat came against South Africa in a competitive contest. Although the bowling unit appears slightly weakened, New Zealand still possess the skill to adapt. The Super Eight matches in Sri Lanka could play to their advantage. Sri Lankan pitches are traditionally slower and assist spin bowlers, which may bring Santner and other spinners into the game more prominently.

Sri Lanka

The co-hosts Sri Lanka have also impressed in the tournament. They suffered a loss to Zimbabwe in the group stage, but they had already secured qualification before that setback. They had comfortable wins over Ireland and Oman, showing their dominance. The team also saw a memorable unbeaten century from Pathum Nissanka against Australia, showcasing their batting strength.

Under the leadership of Dasun Shanaka, Sri Lanka are aiming to recreate past glory. They famously won the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2014 by defeating India in the final. They are playing in home conditions which provides them an added advantage, and the crowd support could further boost their confidence. With a balanced squad and experienced campaigners, Sri Lanka stand a strong chance of reaching the semi-finals.

India

Defending champions India are once again among the top favourites. The Men in Blue have remained unbeaten in the tournament, defeating USA, Namibia, Pakistan, and the Netherlands in the group stage. Their consistent performances reflect both depth and versatility.

Captain Suryakumar Yadav has led from the front, while players like Ishan Kishan, Shivam Dube, and Varun Chakravarthy have played key roles in crucial moments. With matches being played in familiar home conditions, India enjoy a significant advantage. Their combination of explosive batting and quality spin bowling makes them one of the most complete sides in the competition. Given their current form and confidence, India are highly likely to progress to the semi-finals.

West Indies

The West Indies have enjoyed a strong campaign, entering the Super Eights unbeaten. They had victories over Nepal, England, Scotland, and Italy that reflected their collective team effort. Unlike previous tournaments where individual brilliance stood out, this time the Caribbeans have thrived as a unit.

West Indies are two-time champions, having lifted the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2012 and the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2016. After struggling in recent ICC events, they appear revitalised and determined. If they continue playing fearless cricket, they could not only reach the semi-finals but also aim to become the first team to win the T20 World Cup three times.