Hawks vs. Knicks 2026 NBA Playoffs Game 5 prediction, odds, pick

The 2026 NBA Playoffs are heating up in the Eastern Conference as we’re back with another prediction and pick for this Game 5 tilt in the First Round. The Atlanta Hawks visit the New York Knicks as the series heads back to Madison Square Garden tied 2-2. Check our NBA Playoffs odds series for the Hawks-Knicks prediction and pick.

The New York Knicks responded in Game 4 with a 114-98 win in Atlanta. After dropping two consecutive games and trailing in the series, Karl-Anthony Towns recorded his first career triple-double in the playoffs while OG Anunoby stepped up to lead all scorers with 22 points.

Both teams have been dominant on their home floor, but the momentum has kept shifting throughout this series. As the Knicks head back to Madison Square Garden, they’ll look for the advantage in what could likely evolve into a seven-game series against their rivaled Hawks in the East.

NBA odds courtesy of DraftKings

Hawks vs. Knicks Game 5 Odds

Atlanta Hawks: +6.5 (-110)

New York Knicks: -6.5 (-110)

Over: 213.5 (-105)

Under: 213.5 (-115)

Hawks vs. Knicks Key Injuries 

Atlanta: Jock Landale (ankle – OUT)

New York: None to report.

Hawks vs. Knicks Betting Trends

• The New York Knicks are 32-11 at home. The Atlanta Hawks are 23-20 on the road.
• The Knicks are 50-20 as favorites. The Hawks are 19-25 when listed as underdogs.
• The Knicks are 46-41 ATS overall, 29-14 ATS at home. The Hawks are 46-40 ATS, 24-19 ATS on the road.
• The Knicks are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Hawks. Both teams have gone 5-5 ATS during those games.
• The Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as the underdogs.
• The Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of Atlanta’s last six games.
• The total has gone UNDER in five of New York’s last six games.

Keys to Hawks vs. Knicks Matchup

After losses this season, the Knicks went 14-17 ATS (19-12 outright), so it wasn’t shocking to see them drop two-straight against a resilient Atlanta Hawks’ team with CJ McCollum catching heat at the perfect time. However, already down 2-1 in the series, the Knicks put together a complete performance while holding McCollum to just 17 points and all other players under 15 points. Karl-Anthony Towns notched his first career triple-double (20p/10r/10a) in the postseason while OG Anunoby went 3-6 from deep. Jalen Brunson also added 19 points as the Knicks responded with their backs against the wall in Game 4.

Expect New York to take much of that momentum with them back to Madison Square Garden as they’ve been a top-5 home team in the league all season. They’re 24-14 ATS as home favorites and 31-24 ATS following a win, so all trends are pointing towards the Knicks responding with another dominant win to swing this series in their favor. This was always to be expected from a scrappy Hawks team, but the Knicks firmly believe they have the better roster to outlast in a seven-game series.

For the Hawks, Dyson Daniels was finally able to arrive in leading the Hawks with nine rebounds and six assists while conducting the pace of the offense. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been a huge catalyst for Atlanta all series, but he was limited to 10 of 11 total attempts coming from three while turning the ball over six times. Against a strong defense like New York, limiting the turnover margins will be essential in giving them a chance on the road.

Look for both Jalen Brunson and Jalen Johnson to have more of an impact for their teams during this Game 5 as both players took a back seat in Game 4. Brunson averaged 9.2 PPG in the first quarter throughout the regular season, ranking him among the NBA’s top in opening the game hot for their team. With the crowd support compounded at home, expect this Knicks team to come out hot and likely work to preserve a lead throughout most of this game.

Hawks vs. Knicks Prediction and Pick

This Game 5 will really be a matter of whether the Hawks can open the game fast and keep up with the Knicks’ 46.1% FG% at home during the postseason. The Hawks have been able to best the Knicks with their scoring late in games during this series, but the real advantage will come early in the game in making the Knicks play from behind.

However, I expect the Knicks to come out strong, build an early first quarter lead behind Jalen Brunson, and play from ahead throughout the majority of this game. Karl-Anthony Towns should have another edge in the paint as Mitchell Robinson has been a big factor in the Knicks’ success in the paint throughout this series. For our final prediction, let’s follow recent trends with New York playing at home following a win.

Final Hawks-Knicks Game 5 Prediction & Pick: New York Knicks -6.5 (-110); UNDER 213.5 (-115)

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