Soccer/Football

Ecuador vs Germany predictions and betting tips – Deniz Undav involved again

Jun 25, 2026 - 08:15

Ecuador take on Germany in the final games of Group E where Germany look comfortable in topping.

Ecuador vs Germany best bets

Bet on Germany to win to nil at 12/5 on BOYLE Sports
Back Deniz Undav to score last at 11/2 on bet365
Bet on Estupinan and Caicedo to be carded at 9/1 on Betfred

Ecuador vs Germany head to head overview

Date: Thursday, 25th June 2026
Kick-off: 9pm
Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford
Where to watch: BBC Sport
Referee: Tori Penso
Last meeting: Germany 4-2 Ecuador
Head to head record: Germany 2/2 wins
Favourite to win: Germany

Ecuador vs Germany predicted lineups

Ecuador expected lineup: Galindez’ Tenorio, Hicapie, Guerrero; Estupinan, Preciado; Franco, Caicedo; Plata, Yeboah; Valencia.
Germany expected lineup: Neuer; Brown, Tah, Rudiger, Kimmich; Pavlovic, Nmecha; Wirtz, Musiala, Sane; Undav.

Ecuador vs Germany prediction

This is a must-win for Ecuador with just one point picked up so far.

It would be tough to qualify into the next round without a win and just one point picked up given the rest of the group results.

Ecuador managed to draw 0-0 with Curacao and lost just 1-0 to Cote d’Ivoire but now face a tougher challenge in Germany.

That said, Ecuador aren’t out of it if they turn up on Thursday night – with Germany needing a last minute winner and to come back from behind to defeat Ivory Coast.

Ecuador vs Germany: Prediction, betting tips, referee, lineups, how to watch

Ecuador vs Germany betting tips

Struggle for goals?

Germany won the latest clash against Ecuador 4-2 but that was back in May 2013.

They have met in the World Cup before though in their first ever encounter in fact, back in 2006 where Ecuador lost 3-0.

Germany have scored 2 or more goals in the first half in each of those games, even going up 4-1 at half time in their latest friendly.

Ecuador have been struggling for goals this World Cup and could go into the books having not scored all competition.

Germany will be keen on limiting their goals conceded as that’s been a bit of an issue for them – conceding against both Curacao and Cote d’Ivoire already in their victories.

The Germans have conceded in their last seven World Cup matches in a row now which is a record they’ll be keen to see the back of and face a team now struggling for goals which could overturn it.

Cards and player contributions

Despite Germany struggling against Ivory Coast they did show their immense efforts up front with seven goals against Curacao.

A team that fended off Ecuador to a 0-0 draw and it would be unlikely to see Germany who nearly got a shock draw against Ivory Coast, fall at the final group hurdle.

They’ve got plenty of options going forward but it’s Deniz Undav who is cropping up time and time again for Germany, netting a brace to win it late on last week.

They had ample chances to put the game to bed before then but couldn’t however it should be a different game with the knowledge that it would be very unlikely for them to lose the top spot even with a loss here.

Undav came on from the bench just before the hour mark before netting his brace, and came on at a similar time against Curacao before netting once and assisting twice.

He might well even earn a start in this game which would also help rest Kai Havertz more ahead of their knockouts.

One other focus from this match could come from the Premier League players from Ecuador, who we’ve become accustomed to seeing end up in the referee’s books.

So far they’ve only received two yellow cards across the two games, but they could be going for this match as it’s a must-win.

Pervis Estupinan who is now at Milan received five yellow cards in just 19 matches in Serie A last season.

Moises Caicedo has been booked 11 times in every season he’s played for Chelsea, averaging one every three games in the latest season.

Bet on Germany to win to nil at 12/5 on BOYLE Sports
Deniz Undav to score last at 11/2 on bet365
Bet on Estupinan and Caicedo to be carded at 9/1 on Betfred

Ecuador vs Germany latest odds

Find the latest Ecuador vs Germany betting odds here. Odds are provided by BOYLE Sports and are subject to change.

Ecuador – 11/4
Draw – 11/4
Germany – 5/6

More World Cup predictions

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