Best betting promos and sportsbooks for MLB prop bets [July 2, 2026]
The Chicago White Sox face off against the Cleveland Guardians in a divisional matchup on Thursday night.
With the AL Central struggling to string together their wins, the Chicago White Sox have been able to hold on to their lead for first, sitting 2.0 games ahead of Cleveland at the halfway point of the season.
Luckily for the White Sox, they will be able to continue to pull away from the Guardians in the division standings with Davis Martin exploiting an offense who struggles with making contact.
With nine games taking the field on Thursday, there are a wide range of prop bets and markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.
Best betting promos and sportsbooks for MLB prop bets
Find the best promos and sportsbooks to use for today’s MLB prop bets.
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians (6:40pm, EST)
Cleveland Guardians Team Total Under 3.5 (+110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
After failing to break .500 in their last ten games, the Cleveland Guardians have fallen down to second place in the AL Central division standings.
Their lack of production on offense has made it difficult for them to match their opponents output, ranking near dead last in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, and in OPS.
Unfortunately for the Guardians, their struggles on offense are poised to persist against the Chicago White Sox Davis Martin, battling it out against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 3.00 and a FIP of 2.91 while giving up less than one Hit Against per inning.
Especially with his back end excelling in coverage per their top-12 mark in Defensive Efficiency, lowering the probability of Martin getting burned by an Error.
Davis Martin Over 17.5 Total Outs (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook
With the Guardians struggling to get into scoring position from the opening pitch, the length of Martin’s leash on the mound will grow, increasing his chances of going the full length of his start to help clear the over on his Outs prop.
If the total on Martin’s Outs prop crosses through the key number of 17.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers (2:10pm, EST)
Jacob Misiorowski Over 9.5 Strikeouts (+115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Since the start of the regular season, Jacob Misiorowski’s odds of winning the NL Cy Young award have skyrocketed, kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 1.45, a WHIP of 0.768, and a FIP of 1.84.
Misiorowski’s success on the mound stems from his high Whiff Rate, generating more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.
In a divisional matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, expect Misiorowski to continue to generate Strikeouts at a high rate by taking advantage of an offense who ranks well below league average in Hit Rate, Strikeout Rate, and in On Base Percentage.
For some more exposure, escalator bet Misiorowski’s Strikeout prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.
TJ Friedl Under 0.5 Total Hit (-150) at BetMGM Sportsbook
TJ Friedl’s inability to make contact disrupts the Reds rhythm on offense, generating less than one Hit per game, a .172 Batting Average, and a .498 OPS in 50 starts.
With Misiorowski creating Whiffs at a high rate while painting the box, Friedl will be unable to match his aggression and lose control of his swing, keeping him under the total on his Hits prop.
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners (9:40pm, EST)
Bryce Miller Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-167) at Caesars Sportsbook
After a slow start to the season, the Boston Red Sox odds of winning the AL East have plummeted, sitting 13 games back from the Tampa Bay Rays for first in the division standings.
Their inability to get on base at a consistent rate makes it difficult for them to advance their runners into scoring position, ranking near the bottom of the board in Hit Rate, Walk Rate, and in On Base Percentage.
Heading into Wednesday’s contest against the Washington Nationals, expect the Red Sox to continue to underperform on offense as they face off against Andrew Alvarez who is averaging a FIP of 2.75 while generating more than one Strikeout per inning.
For some more exposure, escalator bet Alvarez’s Strikeout prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds.
About the author
Kody Malstrom
Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.
Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.
When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.
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