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Mike Norvell and his squad make their way to Tuscaloosa, as Florida State visits Alabama on Saturday afternoon. It is time to continue the NCAA Football odds series with a Florida State-Alabama prediction and pick.

FSU enters the game sitting at 1-1. They started the season with a 34-17 win over the New Mexico Lobos in Week 0. However, they took a step back when they lost 27-24 to the SMU Mustangs. This game garnered heavy attention when the FSU campus suffered power outages as well as the football stadium. It resulted in a significant delay, playing a small role in how the Seminoles were unable to defend homefield against SMU.

Meanwhile, Alabama is also 2-0. They opened the season against East Carolina. It was a dominant victory for the Crimson Tide, cruising to a 48-10 win over the Pirates. It was a similar result the following game, storming past the Kentucky Wildcats 45-17 on the road. With the offense being explosive, this start to the season has been beneficial to their postseason aspirations.

Florida State and Alabama have met six times prior to this game, with Alabama having three wins, FSU with two, and one tie. The Seminoles took the win last year at home, winning the game 31-17. The two teams have flip-flopped wins in recent years. No road team has yet to win in this matchup.

Odds provided by BetOnline

Florida State vs. Alabama Odds

Florida State: +19 (-105)

Alabama: -19 (-115)

Over: 50.5 (-105)

Under: 50.5 (-115)

Florida State vs. Alabama Key Injuries

Florida State- WR Tae'Shaun Gelsey (Questionable), RB Gavin Markey (Questionable), WR Devin Carter (Out)

Alabama- WR Noah Rogers (Out), RB AK Dear (Questionable)

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Florida State vs. Alabama Betting Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Crimson Tide are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Crimson Tide are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Keys to Florida State vs. Alabama matchup

Ashton Daniels has a big responsibility on his plate when it comes to leading FSU's attack ahead of this game against Alabama. Two games in, he has completed 29 out of 50 passes for 327 yards and two touchdowns and one interception. He's been active on the ground as well, racking up 24 carries for 101 net yards and two touchdowns. Ousmane Kromah leads the rushing attack alongside Daniels, topping FSU's chart with 36 rushes for 231 net yards and two touchdowns. As for the receiving corps, four different players have four or more receptions each after the first two contests. Samuel Singleton Jr. leads the group with six catches for 94 yards and two touchdowns.

On FSU's defense, they must find holes in Alabama's attack and prevent the quarterback from building momentum throughout the course of the game. Ashlynd Barker leads the group with 15 tackles, one interception, and a pass breakup. Chris Jones follows suit with 15 tackles and three quarterback hits, while Ja'bril Rawls recorded 14 tackles and broke up one pass.

Alabama will emphasize the need to hit the big plays in this one. While Keelon Russell sets the tempo and keeps the Crimson Tide on pace, the big plays have been what makes the offense work. Russell has been effective as the starter despite having some mixed results. He has completed 34 out of 53 throws for 444 yards and a touchdown and two interceptions, while rushing 21 times for 77 net yards and a touchdown. Daniel Hill has enjoyed a strong start to the season, leading the run game with 151 net yards and three touchdowns. Ryan Coleman-Williams shines in the team's receiving corps with nine catches for 173 yards, the only player with over 100 yards two games in.

On defense, it is all about the combination of Caleb Woodson, Luke Metz and Devan Thompkins that will make the difference. FSU is going through inconsistent results during their drives, paving the way for Alabama to exploit their lapses. Woodson leads defenders with 13 tackles and two sacks, while Mets has 10 tackles and an interception.

Florida State vs. Alabama Prediction and Pick

This matchup between Florida State and Alabama stands out as an intriguing rematch from last year, but the stakes are different. The Seminoles are under pressure to get back on track after falling to SMU, seeing Mike Norvell's long-term future with the team in question. Their defense also leaves a lot of opportunities for the red-hot Crimson Tide offense to exploit, making this matchup a difficult one for fans to lean toward the visitors. Regardless, there will be plenty of offensive highlights in this one. Alabama gets the win in this one and covers, while the under also hits.

Final Florida State vs. Alabama Prediction and Pick: Alabama -19 (-115) and under 50.5 (-115)