The Miami Dolphins will look to avoid an 0-4 start when they travel to Minneapolis on Sunday to face the unbeaten Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota enters the matchup 3-0 and atop the NFC North, while Miami is still searching for its first victory under new head coach Jeff Hafley.
To say Miami’s season has gotten off to a difficult start would be an understatement. The Dolphins have scored just 36 points through three games. They are coming off a 24-10 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs after suffering losses to the Raiders and the 49ers the previous two weeks. The Dolphins hung around early thanks to their defense, but Malik Willis and the offense struggled to move the ball. That has been a theme for Miami early this season. Through three games, Willis has thrown for just 627 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions.
Minnesota’s offense may be as dysfunctional as Miami’s. Minnesota is 3-0 because its defense has been nasty — the Vikings have recorded at least four sacks and forced at least two takeaways in each of their first three games. Brian Flores’ unit enters Week 4 with 14 sacks. But the offense has been a different story: Minnesota is 3-0 without topping 246 net yards in a single game. Kyler Murray completed just 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards with a TD and an interception last week against Tampa Bay. Looking for a reason to back the Vikings to cover that big number? Minnesota’s defensive coordinator is Brian Flores who was the head coach in Miami not too long ago.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game details and how to watch Dolphins vs. Vikings
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Time: 4:05PM ET
- Site: U.S. Bank Stadium
- City: Minneapolis, MN
- TV/Streaming: FOX
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Latest Game Odds for Dolphins vs. Vikings
The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Miami Dolphins (+455), Minnesota Vikings (-625)
- Spread: Vikings -10.5
- Total: 38.5
The Total has plummeted after opening at 43.5. The Sharps like the home team and as a result the spread has ballooned from Minny -7 where it opened.
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Expert picks & predictions for Dolphins vs. Vikings
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Dolphins and the Vikings:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
- Spread: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Dolphins +10.5.
- Total: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Total of 38.5.
If you are looking for a reason to sweat the Game Total UNDER, these are two defenses that ranked in the top five in yards allowed last season and the Vikings are still filthy this season on that side of the ball. Couple that with a Dolphins’ offense that has scored just 36 points this season and a Vikings’ offense that has scored 32 combined points in its last two games and you can forecast this as a game in which the kickers sprinkle in a few field goals amidst a busy day for the punters from each side.
Dolphins vs. Vikings: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Dolphins are 0-3 against the spread this season
- The Vikings are 3-0 against the spread this season
- Miami is 1-2 to the OVER this season
- Minnesota is 1-2 to the OVER this season
Quarterback matchup: Dolphins vs. Vikings
- Miami: Malik Willis
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 627 Passing Yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 74.1 RTG, Sacked 9 times - Minnesota: Kyler Murray
2026 Statistics: 2GP, 186 Passing Yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 54.3 RTG, Sacked 3 times
Dolphins vs. Vikings: Top Playmakers
Dolphins
- RB Ollie Gordon II
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 20 carries for 48 Yds, 1 TD / 3 receptions on 3 targets for 14 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Malike Washington
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 12 receptions on 23 targets for 152 Yds, 0 TDs - RB Jaylen Wright
2026 Statistics: 2GP, 3 carries for 10 Yds, ) TDs
Vikings
- WR Jordan Addison
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 7 receptions on 15 targets for 111 Yds, 1 TD - RB Aaron Jones Sr.
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 52 carries for 203 Yds, 1 TD / 5 receptions on 7 targets for 34 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Justin Jefferson
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 13 receptions on 17 targets for 179 Yds, 2 TDs
Dolphins vs. Vikings: Injury Update
Dolphins
- WR Chris Bell (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Caleb Douglas (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- C Aaron Brewer (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DT Jordan Phillips (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Robert Beal Jr. (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Storm Duck (knee) is listed as OUT for Sunday’s game
Vikings
- WR Justin Jefferson (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Blake Cashman (elbow) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Charles Demmings (hamstring) is listed as OUT for Sunday’s game
- P Brett Thorson (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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