Two unbeaten teams meet in Las Vegas for a first place game in the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) are rolling after wins over Denver, Indianapolis, and Miami whereas the Las Vegas Raiders (3-0) are the biggest surprise in the league with wins over the Dolphins, Chargers, and Saints.
Kansas City has the sixth-best odds to win the Super Bowl entering Week 4 at +1050 odds. The Chiefs rolled the Dolphins 24-10 in what felt like a preseason game or a mini-bye week for the Chiefs. Miami had the ball for over 34 minutes and only managed 10 points on 67 plays with a 8-for-16 mark on third downs (0/3 on 4th). The Chiefs offense managed 334 yards on 49 plays and 26 minutes of light work.
Kansas City averaged 6.8 yards per play, scored on three of five red zone attempts and won the turnover battle (2-1). Patrick Mahomes threw for 246 yards, two touchdowns and an interception on a cool 20-for-24 (83.3% ). Kenneth Walker III added 70 yards on 18 carries and a touchdown in a game where he could have easily crossed 100-plus yards.
Las Vegas left it all on the field in the 35-27 win over the Saints. The Raiders trailed early, 6-3, trailed late, 27-16 and used an insane 13-0 fourth quarter that featured FOUR Saints turnovers (3 fumbles, 1 INT). New Orleans did all it could to lose that game and Las Vegas took advantage of every opportunity late. Kirk Cousins had his third-straight game with three touchdown passes and also went interception-less against the Saints. Brock Bowers popped off as the top pass-catcher with 10 receptions, 116 yards, and a touchdown on 14 targets. We can expect Cousins to look Bowers way early and often as the Chiefs rush defense ranks 10th in the NFL (99.7 ypg).
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game details and how to watch Chiefs at Raiders
· Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
· Time: 4:25 PM ET
· Site: Allegiant Stadium
· City: Las Vegas, NV
· TV/Streaming: CBS
NBC Sports is your home for all the latest updates on this matchup, featuring live odds, player news, expert analysis, and predictions.
Latest Game Odds for Chiefs at Raiders
The latest odds courtesy of DraftKings:
· Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (-225), Las Vegas Raiders (+185)
· Spread: Chiefs -4.5
· Total: 47.5
The spread opened at Kansas City -5.5 with a total of 43.5. The total has crossed one of the key numbers of 45, while the spread moved one point.
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Expert picks & predictions for Chiefs at Raiders
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the Chiefs -4.5:
“This is one of those games that looks too easy and you don’t want to get caught in if it is a trap. Looking over the last game, it was almost as if the Chiefs had a mini-bye week versus the Dolphins compared to an all-out effort for the Raiders to beat the Saints. I like the Chiefs to win and cover, but the better bet may end up being the Under. Kansas City is 11-2 to the Under in the last 13 divisional games.
These are two of the healthiest teams in the NFL, so if a guy or two gets hurt on Sunday, then maybe. live bet based on that would be a good idea too.”
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Chiefs at Raiders betting trends and stats
- Kansas City is 2-1 ATS and 2-1 to the Under
- Las Vegas is 3-0 ATS and 2-1 to the Under
- Kansas City is 1-0 ATS and 1-0 to the Under
- Las Vegas is 1-0 ATS at home and 1-0 to the Under
- Kansas City is 6-8 ATS as a road favorite since 2024
- Las Vegas is 5-6-1 ATS as a home underdog since 2024
- The Chiefs are 10-4 to the Under as a road favorite since 2024
- The Raiders are 8-4 to the Over as a home underdog since 2024
- The Chiefs are an NFL-best 11-2 to the Under in divisional games since 2024 and 4-9 ATS
- The Raiders are 7-6 to the Under in divisional games since 2024 and 6-7 ATS
Quarterback matchup for Chiefs at Raiders
· Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes – You can’t even tell that Patrick Mahomes is coming off a serious injury. Through three games, Mahomes is completing 68.4% of his passes and has 812 passing yards and 41 rushing yards. Mahomes has eight total touchdowns and one interception on the year. Mahomes has the third-most red zone passes (21), ranks sixth in yards per attempt (8.3), and first in pressure completion percentage (76.9%). Whether it’s in the red zone, pressured, blitzed, or play-action, Mahomes ranks top five in completion percentage so far.
· Las Vegas: Kirk Cousins – Cousins has exceeded expectations this season leading the Raiders to a 3-0 start. Cousins has a 9:3 TD to INT ratio and completed 62-of-92 (67.4%) for 661 yards. He’s thrown for at least three touchdowns in three-straight games and had his first start this year without an interception against the Saints this past week. Cousins has only been sacked five times through three games and has the fourth-best protection rating with the fifth-most dropped passes (5). Cousins will need his supporting cast to step up against the Chiefs.
Chiefs at Raiders Injury Update
- Raiders WR Jack Bech (forearm) was put on injury reserve
- Raiders RG Jackson Powers-Johnson (groin) is out
- Chiefs LT Josh Simmons (back) is out
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- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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