UFC Vegas 124: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker continues on the prelims with a middleweight fight between Mantas Kondratavicius and Andre Petroski. Check out our UFC Vegas 124 odds series for our Kondratavicius-Petroski prediction and pick.
Andre Petroski (13-7) steps into the Octagon looking to snap a three-fight losing streak that includes stoppage losses to Cody Brundage and Cam Rowston. His last victory was a decision over Rodolfo Vieira in February 2025 as he comes into his fight this weekend against Mantas Kondratavicius.
Mantas Kondratavicius (9-1) is coming off a unanimous decision over Antonio Trocoli in London after impressing on Dana White's Contender Series. The Lithuanian has won four straight overall, but his debut raised conditioning questions as he comes into his fight this weekend against Andre Petroski.
UFC Vegas 124 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings
UFC Vegas 124 Odds: Mantas Kondratavicius-Andre Petroski Odds
Mantas Kondratavicius: -298
Andre Petroski: +240
Over 1.5 rounds: +160
Under 1.5 rounds: -210
Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (free trial)Why Mantas Kondratavicius Will Win
Mantas Kondratavicius has the kickboxing background and power to overwhelm Andre Petroski early. His heavy hands can punish a fighter who has been stopped recently.
Petroski has taken damage in consecutive losses, which makes him vulnerable to clean counters. Kondratavicius can fire straight punches and kicks without needing a complicated plan.
The Lithuanian is also younger and stronger, with unbeaten stretches on the regional scene. His Contender Series performance showed how dangerous he is when he starts fast.
Even though his UFC debut was a decision, it still proved he can survive tough rounds. Experience in that fight should help him pace himself better.
If he stays patient, Kondratavičius can land the first big shot and keep Petroski from building momentum. Expect a knockout before the veteran can settle in.
Why Andre Petroski Will Win
Andre Petroski is a battle-tested veteran who knows how to exploit a young fighter's weaknesses. If Kondratavicius burns energy early, Petroski can lean on him and grind.
His wrestling and clinch control may be enough to slow the Lithuanian's rhythm. That matters because Kondratavicius gassed during parts of his debut.
Petroski also has the experience of facing UFC-level pressure and surviving tough moments. He can use that to stay calm if the first round gets rough.
The Philadelphia native should avoid trading and instead focus on takedowns and top control. Against a less seasoned grappler, that could drain the favorite's power.
Article Continues BelowA strong start would change the narrative and give Petroski the confidence he lacks after three losses. Expect him to win only by dragging Kondratavičius into deep water.
Final Kondratavicius-Petroski Prediction & Pick
Mantas Kondratavicius is the better pick because his striking power is more dangerous than anything Petroski has recently shown. Petroski has been finished twice in his skid, which makes early exchanges risky.
The Lithuanian's conditioning remains a concern, so he must avoid wasting energy chasing the knockout. If he stays patient, he can pick clean shots and let the damage build.
Petroski's best chance is a clinch-heavy fight that slows the pace. He is experienced enough to make it awkward, but his durability is still a question.
Expect Kondratavicius to land the first major strikes, secure a stoppage, and avoid the late-round fade. The total feels short, but the cleaner winning scenario is a quick finish.
Final Mantas Kondratavicius-Andre Petroski Prediction & Pick: Mantas Kondratavicius (-298), OVER 1.5 rounds (+160)