Saturday horse racing tips: Tom Lunn’s best bets at Epsom

talkSPORT have you covered with horse racing free bets and also racing tips for Saturday’s meeting at Epsom for the Derby.

Tom Lunn has gone through the racecard, form, going, race replays and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices with a few tips on the day’s action.

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2026 Epsom Derby Meeting tips

• 13.30: Witness Stand 8/1 each-way (1pt)
• 14.05: Sparks Fly 4/1 (1pt)
• 14.40: Jan Brueghel 3/1 (2pts)
• 15.15: Dream Composer 14/1 each-way (1pt)
• 16.00 Derby: Pierre Bonnard 13/2 each-way (1pt)

Witness Stand

There’s value here for Witness Stand who looks capable of bouncing back if that wind op has taken effect.

He’s a much better price than risking a bet on Never So Brave at 11/8 who is a worthy favourite but not at this price.

Witness Stand hasn’t been seen to his usual form in his last four races but did travel much better at Meydan in March, only finishing 5 lengths off the winner instead of the previous 16 length defeats.

This horse has gone close at Chester in listed company just a head behind Holguin, in July 2025 and then went on to win the Goodwood Group 2 Lennox Stakes at 25/1, before placing second in the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes in August.

Off that form alone back when he was rated 118 he could be seen to be much higher than his current mark if bouncing back.

Sparks Fly

This six-year-old mare has won 12 from 22 runs, with all wins coming on ground in good to soft or softer.

Went close at Chester to Lambourn which was a nice step forward after not performing too well at Sainz in March.

Could get a nice ground with light rain expected throughout Saturday, provided the ground doesn’t dry out – but will likely be a non-runner if it does get too dry.

Jan Brueghel

Calandagan has gone five unbeaten since losing this race last year to the one and only Jan Brueghel.

Course and distance form is ideal here and when he’s 3/1 over Calandagan who is now only evens he looks a much better shot.

Of course Calandagan has been incredible since losing this race but it also shows how Jan Brueghel is still bigger value.

Dream Composer

2024 winner Dream Composer is a big price and in a similar drawn stall to the one he gained victory in.

Dream Composer won off a mark of 89 and is now rated 84, 5lb below so holds plenty of potential from bouncing back.

These Dash winners are usually very effective over this distance and with some kind of similar course form where they are seen well at courses that have undulations and are a bit testing.

I quite like the look of regular Democracy Dilemma who didn’t place as well in this last year but runs now off a few lb lighter, albeit he is now the top-weight as no horses rated 100 or higher have entered.

Pierre Bonnard

Ticks a lot of boxes for punters, trends and prices – trained by O’Brien only at 8/1 and holds a lot of promise despite not winning his first two starts.

And that 8/1 price will look like huge value when the final field gets narrowed down from the current 88 still entered into the contest down to a maximum of 20.

Remains a strong shout despite those losses and that should give an inclination as to the potential he still possesses if bouncing back.

He was a strong favourite for this race not that long ago and given excuses for those two losses at Leopardstown in April and May, he’ll have to improve over the step up to a mile and a half, and he has been aimed and bred specifically for this trip.

He will much prefer a stronger run race than that at Leopardstown last time out, and there he only lost by a short head.

And in April, he clearly needed the run and it was the typical and yearly issue of horses from O’Brien who just aren’t quite firing so early in the season.

If you’re also looking for pedigree then this horse has positives in abundance too.

He is sired by Camelot and out of New Approach, who was Galileo’s first Derby winner in 2008.

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Tom Lunn’s Horse Racing Profit & Loss

• March ’26: +11.31pts
• From October ’25: +38.46pts
• From March ’25: +109.76pts
• From Oct ’23: +419.61pts

All odds correct at time of writing

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