NFL prop bets today [November 28, 2025]

The Philadelphia Eagles face off against the Chicago Bears in a potential playoff matchup preview.

After entering the year listed as a fringe playoff contender per their preseason odds to play in the postseason, the Chicago Bears have surpassed expectations as they head into week 13 with a one game lead for first in the NFC North. Heading into Black Friday, expect the Bears to harshly regress as they face off against the Philadelphia Eagles who excel at generating pressure.

Even though there is only one game being played on Friday night, there are still plenty of prop bets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

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Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles (3:00pm, EST)

Caleb Williams Under 210.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After severely underwhelming in his rookie campaign, Caleb Williams has started to find his footing as the Chicago Bears quarterback ranks near the top of the board in Big Time Throw Percentage.

While Williams has been more efficient with his throws, his lack of accuracy still holds him back as he also ranks below league average in Quarterback EPA per play while completing just 59.2% of his passes.

Unfortunately for Williams, negative regression looms large over the Bears quarterback as he faces off against the Philadelphia Eagles who rank top-10 in Def Pass Rush PFF Grade.

Especially with the Eagles capable of collapsing the pocket with just their defensive line as their extra bodies in coverage across the middle will drastically lessen the width of Williams passing lanes.

Caleb Williams Longest Completion Under 34.5 Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With Williams having to get the ball out of his hands quicker than anticipated, the Bears pass catchers will have less time in the open field to break away from the Eagles coverage.

This will make it easier for the Eagles to keep a defender on their pass catchers hips for the full duration of their routes and at the point of contact which will lower Williams ability to generate an explosive play through the air.

D’Andre Swift Under 10.5 Rush Attempts (-104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, D’Andre Swift has seen his workload steadily decline as he continues to fall down the board in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.

A stunning turnaround for the Bears running back as he gets the benefit of running behind an offensive line who resides near the top of the board in Run Block Line Yards.

In Friday night’s contest against the Eagles, expect Swift to continue to struggle as he faces off against a front seven who excels at stuffing the run as their top-3 mark in Run Defense PFF Grade indicates.

With Chicago projected to play from behind for a majority of the contest as the current spread implies, expect the Bears to revert to a heavier dose of the pass which will chip away at Swift’s total number of rush attempts.

Jalen Hurts Over 18.5 Pass Completions (+106) at FanDuel Sportsbook

On the other side of the field, the Philadelphia Eagles have also been able to play at a very high level on offense as the reigning Super Bowl champions rank top-12 in Off DVOA and in EPA.

Jalen Hurts has played a major role in their success as the Eagles quarterback currently leads the league in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage while throwing only one interception through the first 12 weeks of the season.

Heading into Friday night, Hurts will have a great opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against a Bears defense who ranks below league average in Def DVOA and in Pass Rush Win Rate.

For some more exposure, escalator bet Hurt’s passing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

AJ Brown Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150) at Caesars Sportsbook

When in scoring position, Hurts has looked towards AJ Brown’s way as the Eagles wide receiver currently leads the team in total Red Zone Targets while converting 33% of them into touchdowns.

With the Bears forced to stack the box against Saquon Barkley, Brown will have more space to work which will increase the quality of Hurts passing lanes in the shortened field.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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