UFC Vegas 124 Betting Splits: Where the Sharp Money Is Landing This Weekend | Deadspin.com

Garrett Kerman|published:
Jul 22, 2023; London, UNITED KINGDOM; Jonny Parsons (blue gloves) reacts after defeating Danny Roberts (red gloves) during UFC Fight Night at O2 Arena. Mandatory Credit: Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports

Jonny Parsons is the biggest sharp-money signal on UFC Vegas 124, and underdogs dominate the rest of the board.

When a fighter's handle share is far larger than their bet share, larger wagers are likely behind them. That points to possible professional interest, though splits can't identify who placed the bets.

Several more underdogs show strong gaps:

Mitch Raposo (+190): 42% of the handle on 16% of bets against Marcos Degli, a 26-point gap.

Ollie Schmid (+285): 49% of the handle on 23% of bets against Keiichiro Nakamura (-360), also 26 points. Nakamura has 77% of tickets but only 51% of the money.

Wellington Turman (+525): 44% of the handle on 24% of bets against Seokhyeon Ko (-750), a 20-point gap.

Virna Jandiroba (+170): 46% of the handle on 29% of bets against Tatiana Suarez, a 17-point gap.

Murtazali Magomedov is the one pick'em side with strong support. At -102 against Jose Delano (-118), he has 98% of the handle on 75% of bets, a 23-point gap. Delano has 25% of tickets but just 2% of the money. Heavy dollar support on a near-even line is a stronger sign of conviction than the same split on a big favorite.


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Where Public and Money Agree

Several fights show little separation, so there's no clear sharp edge. Karine Silva (-230) has 68% of the handle and 69% of bets. Mantas Kondratavicius (-290) has 98% and 95%. Elijah Smith (-310) has 94% and 91%. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-230) has 70% and 66%. Gabriel Lorenco (+145) has 83% of the handle on 74% of bets against Thomas Petersen. That's a nine-point gap, which is too small to treat as a strong signal.

For bettors following the money into UFC Vegas 124, Parsons and Elekana are the headline plays. Raposo, Schmid, Magomedov and Turman are the next tier. Check whether the prices move toward these sides before fight night.


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