Sunday afternoon in Foxborough, AFC East rivals New England (3-2) and New York (2-3) meet at Gillette Stadium. After losing two of their first three games, the Patriots have won their last two and appear to have righted things. They enter the week in second place in the division. The Jets also got in the win column this past weekend and are looking to build on the momentum gained in that victory.
The Jets’ win was a gritty 17-12 victory over the Cleveland Browns. It was a much-needed result after three straight losses to Chicago, Detroit, and Green Bay. Geno Smith threw for 182 yards and Braelon Allen rushed for 116 as the Jets rallied late in the fourth and then held on late to secure their second win of the season. New York’s defense sacked Deshaun Watson eight times and pressured him consistently throughout the game. Rookie David Bailey dominated much of the afternoon securing three sacks in the process.
After upsetting the Bills in Week 4 in Buffalo, the Patriots dismantled the Raiders 45-17 at home last weekend. back-to-back wins over Buffalo and Las Vegas. After a dreadful start to the season, Drake Maye has been special the last two weeks completing 68% of his passes and throwing for 643 yards including seven touchdowns and one interception. He has also rushed for 79 yards on 15 carries in those games. Mike Vrabel’s defense has been better than good allowing just 18.8 points per game.
Among the biggest storylines Sunday are whether the Jets’ pass rush can get to Maye and pressure him, whether Smith can generate any explosive plays against a Patriots’ defense that does not allow many of them, and whether New England or the Jets will own second place in the AFC East by the end of the night.
The series history favors the Patriots. Their most recent matchup came on December 28, 2025, when New England dominated the Jets 42-10.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Jets vs. Patriots
- Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
- Time: 1:00P
- Site: Gillette Stadium
- City: Foxborough, MA
- TV/Streaming: CBS
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Latest Game Odd: Jets vs. Patriots
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
· Moneyline: New York Jets (+285), New England Patriots (-360
· Spread: Patriots -7.5
· Total: 43.5
This line opened Patriots -9.5 with the Total set at 42.5.
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Rotoworld Bet Best Bets
Expert Picks & Predictions: Jets vs. Patriots
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Jets and the Patriots:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Jets +7.5.
- Total: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 43.5.
Here’s why the Jets +7.5 is the best bet:
The gap between these teams is narrower than the spread suggests. New England’s defense ranks fourth in points allowed (18.8 per game), sixth in rushing yards allowed (90.8 per game), and third in plays allowed (56.6 per game). But the Jets’ offense has one thing going for it that matters here: Geno Smith has thrown zero interceptions this season, and New York ranks 3rd in completion percentage (69.39%). Against a Patriots defense that ranks 24th in completion percentage allowed (66.05%), Smith should be able to move the chains and keep the game close. The Jets’ problem is scoring. Gang Green ranks 27th in points scored (18.6 per game) and 28th in yards per carry (3.59). But they’re third in fourth-down conversion rate (75.0%) and 3rd in completion percentage, which means they sustain drives even if they don’t finish them. That’s the profile of a team that loses close games, not blowouts.
Jets vs. Patriots: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Jets are 3-1-1 against the spread this season
- The Patriots are 3-1-1 against the spread this season
- New York is 1-4 to the OVER this season
- New England is 2-3 to the OVER this season
Quarterback Matchup: Jets vs. Patriots
- Jets: Geno Smith
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 1084 Passing Yards, 6 TDs, 0 INTs, 104.2 RTG, Sacked 16 times - Patriots: Drake Maye
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 1228 Passing Yards, 8 TDs, 7 INTs, 88.9 RTG, Sacked 11 times
Jets vs. Patriots: Top Playmakers
Jets
- RB Braelon Allen
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 57 carries for 236 Yds, 2 TDs / 7 receptions on 10 targets for 19 Yds, 0 TDs - RB Breece Hall
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 51 carries for 163 Yds, 1 TD / 10 receptions on 10 targets for 102 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Garrett Wilson
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 31 receptions on 42 targets for 374 Yds, 3 TDs
Patriots
- RB Rhamondre Stevenson
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 57 carries for 227 Yds, 2 TDs / 15 receptions on 19 targets for 111 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Romeo Doubs
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 13 receptions on 23 targets for 219 Yds, 2 TDs - TE Hunter Henry
2026 Statistics: 5GP, 15 receptions on 19 targets for 177 Yds, 1 TD
Jets vs. Patriots: Injury Update
Jets
- RB Breece Hall (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Adonai Mitchell (finger) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- TE Kenyon Sadiq (concussion) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- OG Dylan Parham (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Joseph Ossai (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Kiko Mauigoa (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Patriots
- RB Treyveon Henderson (ankle) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- LT Will Campbell (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- FB Reggie Gilliam (ankle/knee) has been placed on the IR and is OUT for Sunday’s game
- WR Mack Hollins (calf) has been placed on the IR and is OUT for Sunday’s game
- LB Dre’mont Jones (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Christian Gonzalez (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Carlton Davis III (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Charles Woods (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Channing Canada (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Karon Prunty (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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