Following a dominant performance against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Bears (2-1) welcome the New York Jets (1-2) to the Windy City Sunday afternoon.
The NFC North has been less than hospitable this season to Aaron Glenn and the Jets. They have already lined up against the Packers and the Lions this season. While they had an opportunity to win each, Gang Green suffered losses to both. This past Sunday, the Jets battled offensively but had trouble slowing Jahmyr Gibbs especially late in the game. Despite being among the league leaders in time of possession at nearly 35 minutes per game, the Jets have not been able to move the chains and chew up clock in fourth quarters this season.
The Bears lost their starting quarterback a couple weeks ago, but Ben Johnson adjusted and in fact, won this past Sunday against the Eagles starting his third-string quarterback, Case Keenum. The veteran threw for 247 yards including a couple touchdown passes and he even rushed for a score in the 27-7 win. Yes, Chicago’s offense is humming no matter who is under center, but the win over Philly also featured a dominant effort on defense. The defense forced three turnovers and sacked Jalen Hurts twice.
When you have a backup quarterback making his first start of the season and a banged-up skill position group on the other side, the ceiling on this game drops dramatically. That’s exactly the profile that keeps a total under 43.5.
Chicago could have trouble getting up for this game following Monday night’s explosive and complete win over Philadelphia, and the Jets are improved from a season ago, but will this be a repeat of last week where the opposing offense simply wore down the Jets’ defense over four quarters.
In addition, these are two teams that prefer to run the ball first and have found success in establishing the run and subsequently, chewing up the clock. The Game Total UNDER is definitely live.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Jets vs. Bears
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Time: 1PM ET
- Site: Soldier Field
- City: Chicago, IL
- TV/Streaming: FOX
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Latest Game Odds: Jets vs. Bears
The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: New York Jets (+145), Chicago Bears (-175)
- Spread: Bears -3.5
- Total: 42.5
The line opened with the Bears laying 8.5 points but the injury to Williams and the Jets’ level of play through the season’s first three games has brought the number way down. Those same factors that brought down the Spread have also squeezed the Total a few points.
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Rotoworld Bet Best Bets
Expert Picks & Predictions: Jets vs. Bears
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Jets and the Bears:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Bears on the Moneyline
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Bears -2.5.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Total UNDER 42.5.
The single most important factor leading us to the UNDER in this game is the quarterback situation. Caleb Williams is doubtful for Chicago, which means the Bears are turning to Tyson Bagent — and the market has already priced that in with a passing yards line of just 202.5. Bagent has thrown for 54 yards on 22.4 attempts in his lone appearance, and his completion prop sits at a modest number for a reason.
The Jets, meanwhile, are dealing with their own issues. Breece Hall is doubtful with a thigh injury, Adonai Mitchell is doubtful with a finger issue, and Mason Taylor is doubtful. That’s the Jets’ lead running back and two key receiving options potentially out of the lineup.
When you have a backup quarterback making his first start of the season and a banged-up skill position group on the other side, the ceiling on this game drops dramatically. That’s exactly the profile that keeps a total under 43.5.
Jets vs. Bears: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Jets are 2-0-1 against the spread this season
- The Bears are 2-1 against the spread this season
- New York is 1-2 to the OVER this season
- Chicago is 1-2 to the OVER this season
Quarterback Matchup: Jets vs. Bears
- Jets: Geno Smith
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 77-102 for 783 Yds, 4 TD, 0 INTs, 110.0 RTG, Sacked 9 times - Bears: Tyson Bagent
2026 Statistics: 1GP, 5-9 for 54 Yds, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 73.4 RTG, Sacked 1 time
Top Playmakers: Jets vs. Bears
New York Jets
- WR Garrett Wilson
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 21 Receptions on 27 Targets for 243 Yds, 2 TDs - TE Kenyon Sadiq
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 12 Receptions on 14 Targets for 143 Yds, 1 TDs / 1 carry for 3 Yds, 1 TD - RB Braelon Allen
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 19 carries for 61 Yds, 1 TD / 4 receptions on 5 targets for 11 Yds, 0 TDs
Chicago Bears
- WR Kalif Raymond
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 19 receptions on 21 targets for 214 Yds, 1 TD - RB D’Andre Swift
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 54 carries for 253 Yds, 3 TDs / 8 receptions on 9 targets for 68 Yds, 0 TDs - RB Kyle Monangai
2026 Statistics: 3GP, 30 carries for 178 Yds, 1 TD / 4 receptions on 4 targets for 35 Yds, 0 TDs
Jets vs. Bears: Injury Update
New York Jets
- RB Breece Hall (thigh) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- TE Mason Taylor (thumb) is listed as doubtful Sunday’s game
- WR Adonai Mitchell (finger) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- TE Kenyon Sadiq (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LG Dylan Parham (undisclosed) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- S Minkah Fitzpatrick (groin) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Kiko Mauigoa (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- Kene Nwangwu (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Chicago Bears
- QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- LT Braxton Jones (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- NB Cam Lewis (leg) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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