Sunday’s Week 9 matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals (5-2) and the Atlanta Falcons (3-5) comes with an unusual backdrop, as the teams meet at Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid for a 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff. The Bengals have won three in a row and sit in second place in the AFC North, a half-game behind the Steelers. The Falcons have won just three games and are two games under .500 but in the NFC South that is good enough to also be within a half-game of first.
The Bengals arrive in Spain after surviving one of the wildest games last weekend, a 43-36 overtime win over the Tennessee Titans that required Cincinnati to erase multiple deficits. Tennessee jumped ahead 13-0, led 21-13 in the third quarter and was still up 29-23 during the fourth, but Joe Burrow repeatedly brought the Bengals back. He connected with Mike Gesicki for a 25-yard touchdown and later found Tee Higgins for an 18-yard score with 1:17 remaining to force overtime at 36-36. Burrow then finished the comeback himself, scrambling nine yards for the game-winning touchdown in overtime. He has been the driving force behind Cincinnati’s three-game winning streak, which also includes road victories over Miami and Baltimore. He has the Bengals’ offense averaging a stout 29.4 points per game.
An inconsistent offense has plagued Atlanta all season and last Sunday was no exception. Yes, their game against Tampa was played in torrential and constant rain, but the Bucs weathered the storm and won 16-0. Atlanta was held to 224 total yards, committed four turnovers and possessed the ball for only 24:44 as Tampa Bay controlled the game on the ground. Heck, Baker Mayfield attempted just three passes…and did not complete a one. Michael Penix Jr. endured a particularly rough afternoon, throwing a career-high four interceptions, while the Falcons managed just 125 net passing yards and 99 rushing yards. Tampa Bay pounded Atlanta for 324 rushing yards, including 170 and a touchdown from Bucky Irving and another 140 from Kenny Gainwell.
The recent history favors the Bengals, who lead the all-time series 10-5 and have won the last three meetings. The latest came in October 2022, when Burrow carved Atlanta apart for 481 passing yards and three touchdowns in a 35-17 Cincinnati victory.
Let’s dive further into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Bengals vs. Falcons
- Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
- Time: 9:30A
- Site: Santiago Bernabeu
- City: Madrid, Spain
- TV/Streaming: NFL Network
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Latest Game Odd: Bengals vs. Falcons
The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Cincinnati Bengals (-155), Atlanta Falcons (+130)
- Spread: Bengals -3.0
- Total: 52.5
Money has come in on the Falcons pushing the number from Cincy -4.5 to its current spot. The Total has climbed four full points (opened at 48.5) as the sharps expect offense in Spain Sunday.
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Expert Picks & Predictions: Bengals vs. Falcons
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Bengals and the Falcons:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Bengals -3.0.
- Total: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 52.5.
Here’s why the Bengals -3.0 is the best bet:
Cincinnati ranks 2nd in offensive DVOA (23.8%), 1st in passing yards (315.86 per game), 1st in passing touchdowns (2.86 per game), 1st in receptions (27.86 per game), 1st in completion percentage (73.03%), 1st in third-down conversion rate (52.87%), 2nd in points scored (29.43 per game), and 4th in touchdown percentage (5.54%). Joe Burrow has thrown 20 touchdown passes — the most in the league — and he just put five of them on Tennessee in a 43-36 overtime win. Atlanta is the opposite. The Falcons rank 24th in offensive DVOA (-10.8%), 27th in passing yards (212.62 per game), 21st in passing touchdowns (1.25 per game), 30th in receptions (17.0 per game), 27th in completion percentage (60.44%), 29th in third-down conversion rate (33.68%), and 31st in interceptions thrown (11). They’re scoring 21.38 points per game (23rd) and they just got shut out 16-0 by Tampa Bay. The defensive side is where this gets ugly for the Falcons. Atlanta ranks 26th in interceptions (3), 29th in interception rate defense (1.04%), 27th in plays allowed (65.5 per game), 28th in pass attempts allowed (36.12 per game), and 26th in receptions allowed (23.25 per game). That’s a secondary that can’t take the ball away and can’t get off the field — exactly the profile Burrow shreds.
Bengals vs. Falcons: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Bengals are 3-4 against the spread this season
- The Falcons are 3-5 against the spread this season
- Cincinnati is 5-2 to the OVER this season
- Atlanta is 4-4 to the OVER this season
Quarterback Matchup: Bengals vs. Falcons
- Bengals: Joe Burrow
2026 Statistics: 7GP, 2115 Passing Yards, 20 TDs, 6 INTs, 111.6 RTG, Sacked 13 times - Falcons: Michael Penix Jr.
2026 Statistics: 6GP, 1282 Passing Yards, 9 TDs, 5 INTs, 90.9 RTG, Sacked 9 times
Bengals vs. Falcons: Top Playmakers
Bengals
- RB Chase Brown
2026 Statistics: 7GP, 94 carries for 340 Yds, 1 TD / 36 receptions on 42 targets for 189 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Ja’Marr Chase
2026 Statistics: 7GP, 43 receptions on 61 targets for 492 Yds, 6 TDs - WR Tee Higgins
2026 Statistics: 7GP, 43 receptions on 61 targets for 726 Yds, 4 TDs
Falcons
- RB Bijan Robinson
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 150 carries for 780 Yds, 4 TDs / 25 receptions on 34 targets for 203 Yds, 1 TD - WR Drake London
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 39 receptions on 63 targets for 624 Yds, 1 TD - WR Jahan Dotson
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 14 receptions on 31 targets for 337 Yds, 2 TDs
Bengals vs. Falcons: Injury Update
Bengals
- DE Cedric Johnson (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- S Jordan Battle (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB DJ Turner II (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- S Kyle Dugger (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Falcons
- WR Zachariah Branch (hamstring) has been declared OUT for Sunday’s game
- RB Brian Robinson Jr. (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DT Anterio Thompson (undisclosed) has been declared OUT for Sunday’s game
- LB Divine Deablo (forearm) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Samson Ebukam (hamstring) has been placed on IR and has been ruled OUT for Sunday’s game
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