Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim prediction, odds, decide for UFC Nashville

UFC Nashville: Derrick Lewis versus Tallison Teixeira continues on the primary card with a combat between Stephen Thompson and Gabriel Bonfim within the welterweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds collection for our Thompson-Bonfim prediction and decide.

Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) enters UFC Nashville seeking to rebound from a troublesome stretch, having misplaced to Shavkat Rakhmonov by submission after which struggling a knockout in opposition to Joaquin Buckley final October. Now, “Wonderboy” goals to show again the clock and halt Gabriel Bonfim’s rise after they meet this Saturday evening.

Gabriel Bonfim (17-1) rebounded from his first profession loss to Nicolas Dalby by outpointing Ange Loosa in a dominant unanimous choice final July, then submitted Khaos Williams with a D’arce choke in February. Now, “Marretinha” appears to proceed his resurgence by halting Stephen Thompson’s comeback at UFC Nashville this Saturday evening.

Listed below are the UFC Nashville Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Nashville odds: Stephen Thompson-Gabriel Bonfim odds

Stephen Thompson: +330

Gabriel Bonfim: -425

Over 2.5 rounds: -105

Below 2.5 rounds: -125

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Why Stephen Thompson will win

• Final Struggle: (L) Joaquin Buckley – KO/TKO R3
• Final 5: 1-4
• Finishes: 9 (8 KO/TKO/1 SUB)

Stephen Thompson has the instruments to upset Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Nashville, because of his distinctive putting model, veteran expertise, and cage IQ. Thompson’s karate-based motion and 75-inch attain enable him to regulate vary, retaining aggressive opponents like Bonfim at bay with facet kicks, long-range flurries, and unpredictable angles. His putting accuracy (46%) and defensive savvy imply he absorbs much less harm than Bonfim, who is usually keen to take dangers and eat pictures to land his personal.

If Thompson can keep distance and drive Bonfim to interact on the toes, he’ll have alternatives to take advantage of the Brazilian’s tendency to again up in straight traces together with his chin uncovered. Thompson’s lateral motion and talent to counter from awkward angles have pissed off numerous opponents, and Bonfim’s putting protection lapses might be pricey in opposition to a sniper like “Wonderboy”.

Bonfim’s greatest risk is his grappling, however Thompson’s expertise in opposition to elite wrestlers and his capability to nullify takedowns, even when diminished with age, give him a preventing probability to maintain the bout standing. If Thompson can keep away from extended floor exchanges and dictate the tempo, his veteran savvy, combat IQ, and putting arsenal may enable him to outpoint Bonfim over three rounds and even discover a late end. In a battle of youth versus expertise, Thompson’s technical mastery and strategic self-discipline make him a reside underdog able to pulling off the upset in Nashville.

Why Gabriel Bonfim will win

• Final Struggle: (W) Khaos Williams – SUB R2
• Final 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 16 (3 KO/TKO/13 SUB)

Gabriel Bonfim is primed to defeat Stephen Thompson at UFC Nashville, because of his relentless grappling, ending instincts, and youthful aggression. Bonfim averages a powerful 3.68 takedowns per quarter-hour with a 76% accuracy, making him one of the crucial environment friendly wrestlers within the division. As soon as on the mat, he’s a continuing submission risk, averaging 2.2 submissions per quarter-hour and barely letting opponents off the hook.

Bonfim’s capability to mix strain putting with fast degree modifications poses a critical problem for Thompson, whose takedown protection sits at a modest 63%. Thompson’s world-class karate and footwork are much less efficient when he’s pressured to combat off his again or defend relentless grappling sequences. Bonfim’s youth and cardio additionally give him an edge, as he’s proven the flexibility to take care of a excessive tempo and capitalize on any indicators of fatigue in his opponents.

Whereas Thompson’s putting stays harmful, Bonfim’s willingness to interact on the toes solely to arrange his grappling makes him unpredictable and exhausting to sport plan in opposition to. If Bonfim can shut the gap, provoke clinches, and drag Thompson to the canvas, he’s prone to management the combat and hunt for a end. Anticipate Bonfim’s strain, submission arsenal, and physicality to overwhelm the veteran, resulting in a dominant win and a possible breakthrough into the welterweight high 15.

Remaining Stephen Thompson-Gabriel Bonfim prediction & decide

Gabriel Bonfim enters UFC Nashville as the favourite, because of his relentless grappling and ending instincts. Bonfim’s capability to mix high-volume takedowns with submission threats makes him a stylistic nightmare for Thompson, whose takedown protection has proven vulnerabilities in opposition to aggressive wrestlers. If Bonfim can shut the gap and drag the combat to the mat, he’s prone to management the motion and hunt for a end.

Thompson’s putting and footwork stay harmful, however his effectiveness diminishes when pressured to defend takedowns and work off his again. Bonfim’s youth, cardio, and strain ought to enable him to put on down the veteran over three rounds. Anticipate Bonfim to dictate the tempo, rating with floor management, and doubtlessly safe a late submission or clear choice win in Nashville.

Remaining Stephen Thompson-Gabriel Bonfim Prediction & Decide: Gabriel Bonfim by Determination (+200), Over 2.5 Rounds (-145)