Real Madrid v Man City prediction and betting tips – Vinicius Jr and Semenyo key

Mar 11, 2026 - 07:30

Real Madrid host Manchester City yet again in the Champions League as the two clubs meet for a place in the quarter finals.

Real Madrid v Man City latest odds

Find the latest Real Madrid v Man City betting odds here, odds courtesy of bet365 and are subject to change.

Real Madrid – 5/2
Draw – 29/10
Man City – 19/20

Real Madrid v Man City best bets

Vinicius Jr to score last – 8/1 with bet365
Antoine Semenyo to score a header – 25/1 with bet365
Raul Asencio to be booked – 5/2 with bet365
Man City – to score in both halves –13/8 with bet365

Real Madrid predictions

Los Blancos clash with their European foes Man City for the fifth consecutive year in the Champions League, which has included three meetings in 2025.

They met in December in the league phase where City. But it’s been very nip and tuck when the two sides have met in the knockout stages.

Real Madrid have beaten City in three of those campaigns, including last season’s knockout phase play-offs. But City did get the better of the Spanish giants in the 2022/23 semi-final on their way to completing the treble.

Just a point separated the two clubs in the league phase, Man City edged it, taking up the eighth and final automatic spot.

Real were ousted into ninth, which meant a re-match with Benfica in the knockout phase playoffs, which they came through to set up this mouthwatering tie.

City come into this first-leg having dispatched Newcastle, yet again, this time in the FA Cup fifth round. But did trip up in their pursuit of Arsenal in the Premier League, with a 2-2 draw with relegation-threated Nottingham Forest.

Real Madrid were without Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo, out for the season, and thanked a 95th minute winner from Federico Valverde to beat Celta Vigo. Before that, they lost to Getafe 1-0 at the Bernabeu.

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Real Madrid v Man City betting tips

Injuries and availability could be key to this first-leg in particular. Alvaro Arbeloa fielded Brahim Diaz and Vinicius Jr in forward positions in the win over Celta Vigo. As he sweats on the fitness of star man Mbappe.

Jude Bellingham won’t be involved, with hope that the England international will return for the second-leg.

Real’s attacking thrust and impetus will have to come from Vinicius Jr. The Brazil international has scored 12 of his last 13 Champions League goals in the second half of games, including each of his last seven.

Erling Haaland was rested for Saturday night’s FA Cup tie, so should be fresh and raring for the visit to the Bernabeu. Haaland has three goals in six appearances against Los Blancos.

Having not found the net in his first four matches against Real, these three goals have come in the last two fixtures.

Antoine Semenyo has hit the ground running since his move to City in January and will be a live threat to Madrid defence that could include Trent Alexander-Arnold.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has landed in all but one of their last seven matches. It may well happen again.

Real Madrid v Man City predicted lineups

Real Madrid (4-3-1-2): Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Asencio, Rudiger, Mendy; Valverde, Tchouameni, Camavinga; Guler; G. Garcia, Vinicius Jr

Man City (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Ait-Nouri; Bernardo, Rodri, O’Reilly; Semenyo, Haaland, Foden

How to watch Real Madrid v Man City

Location: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
Date and time: Wednesday 11th March 2026, 8pm
How to watch: TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, discovery+

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