Kansas Metropolis welcomes Buffalo to Arrowhead within the postseason as soon as once more as they purpose to maintain their hopes of pulling off the “three-peat” alive.
The Payments, led by MVP favorite Josh Allen, are on the lookout for their first Tremendous Bowl look since 1994.
Chiefs vs Payments greatest bets
Historical past beckons in two weeks’ time if the house aspect can as soon as once more get previous the Payments. No workforce within the NFL has ever received three straight titles and not one of the earlier back-to-back champs made it to the third Tremendous Bowl both.
The Chiefs haven’t precisely blown groups away this season, however have persistently performed basically sound soccer that has gotten the job accomplished in all however two of their video games.
The Payments have caught the attention extra, repeatedly scoring 30+ factors and taking prime scalps alongside the way in which, however they and Allen want all of it to translate into a hoop.
- Josh Allen anytime landing scorer – 20/21 with bet365
- James Cook dinner over 56.5 dashing yards – 10/11 with bet365
- Travis Kelce over 69.5 receiving yards – 10/11 with bet365
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Kansas Metropolis Chiefs vs Buffalo Payments odds
Discover the newest odds for Kansas Metropolis Chiefs vs Buffalo Payments courtesy of bet365. Odds are topic to alter.
| Winner | Odds |
| Kansas Metropolis Chief | 4/5 |
| Buffalo Payments | 21/20 |
| Complete factors | Odds |
| Over 48.5 | 10/11 |
| Beneath 48.5 | 10/11 |
Chiefs vs Payments preview
This would be the ninth time Mahomes and Allen have confronted one another, with 4 wins apiece thus far. Mahomes, nevertheless, has come out on prime in all three of their earlier playoff clashes, together with a dramatic victory within the divisional spherical three years in the past which prompted the NFL to alter extra time guidelines – permitting each groups to own the ball. The Chiefs additionally introduced an finish to the Payments’ season a yr in the past, in a slender 27-24 victory at Orchard Park.
The Payments have since gone at the least some method to claiming revenge by ruining KC’s bid for an unbeaten season with a 30-21 win again in week 11 of the common season. Allen sealed that one with a signature 26-yard dashing landing, which has been a characteristic of this Payments season.
The operating sport accounted for 32 touchdowns throughout the common season, the best amongst all 32 groups within the NFL. They’ve punched in an additional 4 of their two playoff video games thus far too.
Some doubted whether or not the Western New York outfit would even make the postseason this time round after Allen was stripped of each Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis in offseason trades and free company – his two fundamental huge receivers.
With an more and more environment friendly floor sport, nevertheless, and Josh Allen massively chopping down on turnovers – simply six interceptions this season in comparison with 18 in 2023/24 – they’ve proved to be an especially troublesome offense to decelerate. With the Miami Dolphins being beset by accidents and the New York Jets failing to ship on their preseason hype, the Payments ended up successful the AFC East at a canter with a 13-4 report.
Ball safety is a giant cause why Allen has been capable of put collectively a season which can land him the MVP award, in addition to a really spectacular statline of 4,130 passing yards and 30 touchdowns, together with 597 dashing yards and 14 TD carries. If the Payments are to lastly bury their postseason hoodoo over the Chiefs, Allen will have to be at his greatest.
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The 2024/25 model of the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs has been a lot much less explosive than in years previous, claiming 11 of their 15 common season wins by one rating.
The defence has continued to play at an elite stage, holding opponents to underneath 20 factors on 11 events, and Mahomes has mastered the artwork of doing ‘simply sufficient’ when it issues most in shut video games.
In truth, statistically, the common season simply completed was his worst by his personal extremely excessive requirements. Under 4,000 passing yards for the primary time in his profession, no 60+ yard performs, and a joint-low 26 passing touchdowns. The one stat to have seen a slight uptick was his completion share – 67.5% representing a career-best.
As with every perennial championship contender although, the Chiefs appear to be clicking into gear at simply the appropriate time with two spectacular wins in opposition to the Houston Texans – one within the last weeks of the common season, the opposite in final week’s divisional spherical matchup – and a 29-10 dismantling of the Pittsburgh Steelers (one other playoff workforce) on Christmas Day.
They by no means appeared like surrendering the #1 seed within the AFC, which they clinched with one sport to spare. With Mahomes and plenty of different starters being rested, the week 18 defeat in Denver, together with the aforementioned loss to Buffalo, are the one two blemishes on their 15-2 report.
Punters who’ve watched the NFL over the past 5 or so years will know to not rule out the “three-peat” till somebody places a cease to it.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs vs Buffalo Payments betting ideas
At any time when these two meet, it’s often field workplace and the bookies are calling one other very shut sport right here, setting the unfold at round 1.5 to 2 factors in favour of Kansas Metropolis. It’s their seventh straight AFC Championship sport, they usually’ve received 4 of the earlier six. So it’s honest to say they know the way to carry out in these conditions – in truth, that is often the place they play their greatest soccer.
The Payments have solely gotten this far as soon as since dropping the 1993 Tremendous Bowl, that was 4 years in the past and it was once more the Chiefs who despatched them house with a 38-24 victory. Will probably be a lot tighter this time. If the Payments can play the identical model of mistake-free soccer, they’re the higher workforce on paper and I’ve them lastly eking one out over the Chiefs and going to the Tremendous Bowl. Listed here are three bets I’d take:
Josh Allen anytime landing scorer
With out Diggs and Davis, the Payments have operated a way more methodical offense this season – and Josh Allen’s measurement and velocity are being leaned on much more, significantly within the purple zone. You possibly can safely assume they’ll be making an attempt the QB sneak in Third-and-short and 4th-and-short eventualities everywhere in the discipline, and when on the 1-yard line. This play has an extremely excessive success charge, particularly with a prototypical 6’5 quarterback pushing the pile.
Allen can also be probably the most athletic sign callers within the NFL and may take off on designed QB run performs and scrambles. There’s each likelihood he calls his personal quantity anyplace from 20 to 30 yards out and takes it to the tip zone, as he did in opposition to the Chiefs earlier within the season.
🏈 Again Josh Allen to attain in opposition to the Chiefs’ together with his legs at 20/21 with bet365 🏈
James Cook dinner over 56.5 dashing yards
Cook dinner has been an environment friendly again in every of his three seasons within the NFL however this yr he has actually taken off, with 16 touchdowns from 207 carries within the common season.
He as soon as once more hit the 1,000 yard mark and, in half of his most up-to-date eight video games, has rushed for over 100 yards. He was nevertheless held for underneath 50 yards on seven events.
The Chiefs could rank joint 4th within the NFL for dashing yards per carry allowed all through the common season, however the specter of Josh Allen right here could open up some lanes for Cook dinner.
Plus, each Joe Mixon and C.J. Stroud had success operating the ball in opposition to them final week. Sticking to the bottom sport might also be one of the simplest ways for the Payments to regulate the clock and maintain Mahomes and the Chiefs offense off the sector.
🏈 Wager on James Cook dinner to hurry for over 56.5 yards in opposition to the Chiefs at 10/11 with bet365 🏈
Travis Kelce over 69.5 receiving yards
And not using a star receiver, and with Rashee Rice being unable to construct upon a stable rookie season because of harm, the Chiefs have been utilising a rotating solid of talent gamers this yr.
Travis Kelce as soon as once more led the workforce in receiving yards, however 823 was the fewest he’d put up throughout a daily season in his profession.
Final week in opposition to the Texans, nevertheless, the postseason model of Kelce re-emerged – accounting for 117 of Mahomes’ 177 passing yards, and capping it with a landing. Anticipate Mahomes to as soon as once more look his approach a number of instances on Sunday evening.
🏈 Again Travis Kelce to account for over 69.5 passing yards in opposition to the Payments at 10/11 with bet365 🏈
Chiefs vs Payments sport information
Date: Sunday twenty sixth January
Time: 11:30pm GMT
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas Metropolis, Missouri
The place to observe: Sky Sports activities Essential Occasion & Sky Sports activities NFL
Concerning the writer
Nathan Hill
Nathan Hill is an skilled sports activities author who obsessively follows soccer – each the spherical ball and American variety – in addition to vary of different sports activities together with F1, basketball, darts and snooker.
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