The beauty of this stage of the match is that we are able to relaxation assured of 1 factor: Each sport left goes to be thrilling to observe. That, in fact, could make it tougher to determine tips on how to guess, however that’s the place our “Finest Bets” record can turn out to be useful.
I’ve executed a deep dive into each of Sunday’s Elite Eight video games and compiled an inventory of what I contemplate the very best bets of the day.
Houston (-3) vs. Tennessee +135
UNDER 123.5 factors at -110
This is likely to be the best choice of the match.
Right here you’ve gotten a Houston protection that ranks No. 1 within the nation (58.5 factors per sport allowed) and Tennessee’s No. 8-ranked protection (62.8 factors per sport allowed). Neither offense is unhealthy—or distinctive. At finest, they are often described as ok and complementary to polished defenses.
However mediocre offense may be managed by dominant protection. That would be the case in what might find yourself being the lowest-scoring sport of the match.
L.J. Cryer, UNDER 2.5 Threes Made at -107
He’s Houston’s main scorer, and he’s made 11 threes in match video games (averaging 3.7 per sport). After hitting simply one among 5 makes an attempt towards Purdue, it could be straightforward to say he’s due. However the Vols play nice perimeter protection, and I anticipate they’ll attempt their finest to maintain Cryer in test.
Felix Okpara UNDER 6.5 Rebounds at -164
Igor Milicic Jr., UNDER 4.5 Rebounds at -133
Identical-game parlay odds: +197
Okpara is coming off an 11-rebound sport vs. Kentucky and had seven vs. UCLA. Milicic has been unreliable on the boards in match play, recording three, seven and 4. I wouldn’t say Houston essentially has a standout rebounder, however J’Wan Roberts and Joseph Turner each common round six.
I’m banking on Houston being strong on the offensive boards and holding the Vols restricted.
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Michigan State (+178) vs. Auburn (-4.5)
Auburn -4.5
I anticipate this sport to have a whole lot of similarities to Auburn-Michigan. The Tigers have been 9.5-point favorites, however the Wolverines seemed extra able to play within the first half than Auburn. However the Tigers have been the higher workforce and proved as a lot with a 48-36 second half.
It’s not arduous to see this sport as a possible upset decide with how effectively the Spartans have been enjoying. However Auburn is the higher of the 2 groups right here. That is probably not obvious within the first half, however will probably be within the second.
Denver Jones, OVER 1.5 Threes Made at -158
Johni Broome, OVER 11.5 Rebounds at -110
Identical-game parlay odds: +217
At first, I wished to go along with the below for Jones’ made 3-pointers as a result of Michigan State’s perimeter protection is strong. However Jones will not be one among Auburn’s main scoring threats (he was fifth on the workforce in scoring through the common season; he did have 20 vs. Michigan).
However because the Spartans will probably be extra targeted on Broome, Baker-Mazara and Pettiford, I can see him getting just a few actually beauty and hitting two from deep.
As for Broome’s rebound numbers, he averaged 10.8 per sport through the season and has had 11, 12 and 16 in match play. Statistically, Michigan State is the higher rebounding workforce, however I don’t assume the most effective gamers within the sport will probably be denied.
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