Best Betting Promos and Sportsbooks for NFL Prop Bets [December 7, 2025]

The Kansas City Chiefs face off against the Houston Texans in a AFC Conference matchup on Sunday night.

With the Kansas City Chiefs odds to make the playoffs rapidly declining, the Super Bowl contenders must quickly round back into form should they want to keep their hopes of playing in the postseason alive. Unfortunately for the Chiefs, they face off against the Houston Texans who reside near the top of the board in most defensive metrics.

Even though there is only one game being played on Sunday night, there are still plenty of prop bets to wager on which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Find the best promos and sportsbooks to use for Sunday Night Football prop bets.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs (8:20pm, EST)

Patrick Mahomes Under 22.5 Pass Completions (-123) at Caesars Sportsbook

While the Kansas City Chiefs have underwhelmed as a whole, Patrick Mahomes has been able to play at a very high level as the former MVP ranks above league average in Quarterback EPA per play.

Even though he struggles with limiting the amount of Havoc in his throws, Mahomes still excels at stretching the field as he also ranks near the top of the board in Big Time Throw Percentage.

In a conference matchup against the Houston Texans, negative regression looms large over Mahomes as he faces off against a defensive line who generates pressure at a very high rate as their top-2 mark in Pass Rush PFF Grade indicates.

With the Texans capable of collapsing the pocket with just their front four, their extra bodies in coverage will lessen the width of Mahomes passing lanes which lowers his chances of generating a completion.

Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interception (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Texans relentless pressure will also give the Chiefs pass catchers less time in the open field to create separation from their secondary which will make it easier for their back end to keep a body on their hips at the point of contact.

With Mahomes ranking below league average in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage, expect the Texans to capitalize on his aggression and intercept one of his ill-adivised throws.

Isiah Pacheco Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Isiah Pacheco has struggled to find his footing as the Chiefs running back currently ranks below league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt.

His offensive line has played a major role in his low level of play this season as the Chiefs front five ranks in the bottom half of the board in Run Block Set Grade.

Unfortunately for Pacheco, his struggles with reaching the second level of the defense are poised to persist as he faces off against a Texans front seven who ranks top-10 in Run Defense Line Yards.

Kareem Hunt has also been utilized at a heavier rate at the expense of Pacheco’s total number of rush attempts which further lowers his chances of clearing the over on his rushing yardage prop.

CJ Stroud Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook

When at full health, CJ Stroud has been able to elevate the Texans offense by taking care of the ball as the former Offensive Rookie of the Year winner ranks above league average in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage.

An impressive level of play when factoring in the minimal support he receives from his offensive line as the Texans rank near dead last in Pass Block Set Grade.

Heading into Sunday night, expect Stroud to build on his momentum as he faces off against a Chiefs front seven who ranks just 17th overall in Sack Rate while blitzing at one of the highest rates in the league.

For some more exposure, escalator bet Stroud’s passing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When near the goal line, Stroud has looked towards Nico Collins way as the Texans wide receiver comfortably leads the team in total Red Zone Targets while converting 33.3% of his Receptions into touchdowns.

With the Chiefs ranking 16th in Def EPA, expect Collins to exploit their gaps in coverage and create a high quality passing lane for Stroud to throw to. Should Woody Marks sit out, then place a wager on Nick Chubb to score as well.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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