Marcus Freeman and his squad make their way to Maryland, as the No. 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish visit the Navy Midshipmen on Saturday afternoon at 12 p.m. ET. It is time to continue the NCAA Football odds series with a Notre Dame-Navy prediction and pick.
Notre Dame enters the game sitting at 6-1. They opened the season with a dominant 41-13 win over the Wisconsin Badgers. They torched the Rice Owls in a 52-0 shutout, got past the Michigan State Spartans 27-10, blew out the Purdue Boilermakers 49-10, took down the North Carolina Tar Heels 37-26, and then routed the Stanford Cardinal 58-7. However, they saw their perfect start to a season end after losing in a 28-24 upset to the then-No. 8 BYU Cougars.
Meanwhile, Navy has a 2-4 record. They started the season with a 42-15 win over the Towson Tigers in Week 1. They went on to suffer three consecutive losses, falling 38-30 to the FAU Owls, 24-20 to the UAB Blazers, and 14-9 to the Air Force Falcons. The Midshipmen ended the three-game skid with a 34-26 win over the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, but they returned to the loss column after back-to-back defeats to the UTSA Roadrunners (38-34) and the North Texas Mean Green (49-39).
Notre Dame and Navy share a long history of playing against each other in football. The former boasts 84 wins over Navy's 13 victories while they drew once. Notre Dame took the most recent win back in November 2025, winning the game 49-10. Notre Dame has won eight consecutive games over Navy.
Notre Dame vs. Navy Odds
Notre Dame: -30 (-112)
Navy: +30 (-108)
Over: 56.5 (-105)
Under: 56.5 (-115)
Notre Dame vs. Navy Key Injuries
Notre Dame- WR Quincy Porter (Out), QB Blake Hebert (Out)
Navy- TE Jake Norris (Questionable), Landon Walker (Out), Jeremiah Chalmers (Out), Merrick Barlow (Out)
Notre Dame vs. Navy Betting Trends
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Navy.
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Fighting Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AC.
- Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Keys to Notre Dame vs. Navy football matchup
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish possess one of the best offenses in the country, shining as a fierce squad that has national championship aspirations. They rank fifth in the country in scoring offense with 41.1 points per game, 43rd in rushing offense with 183.4 yards per game and 55th in passing offense with 261.7 yards per game. CJ Carr has been productive with his playmaking, completing 129 out of 193 passes for 1,639 yards and 16 touchdowns and one interception. Jonaz Walton shines in the run game with 57 carries for 426 yards and three touchdowns, while Nolan James Jr. collected up to 81 rushes for 412 yards and six touchdowns. Jordan Faison leads the receiving corps with 34 catches for 451 yards and four touchdowns. Micah Gilbert comes next with 22 receptions for 409 yards, while Jaden Greathouse had 19 catches for 263 yards and two touchdowns.
Article Continues BelowNotre Dame also shines as a strong squad on the defensive side of the ball. They rank fourth in scoring defense with 13.4 points per game, first in yards allowed with 235 yards per game, 13th in passing defense with 167.7 yards per game, and third in rushing defense with 67.3 yards per game. Drayk Bowen leads the unit with 38 tackles, two pass deflections and a fumble recovery. Bryce Young and Boubacar Traore stand out as quality pass rushers with 6.5 combined sacks, while Luke Talich is active in the secondary with 26 tackles, two interceptions and a pass deflection.
The Navy Midshipmen do have bright spots amid their struggling form six games into the season. They boast the third-best rushing offense with 307.7 yards per game, while ranking 64th in scoring offense with 29.7 points per game, and 258th in passing offense with 119.4 yards per contest. Jackson Gutierrez plays a crucial role to Navy's chances of winning games, being dominant with his rushing skills in the triple option. He has thrown for 692 yards and seven touchdowns and one interception, while rushing 150 times for 869 yards and 12 touchdowns. Michael Barrow has assisted him with 81 rushes for 442 yards and a touchdown whenever he gets touches to the ball in the offense. Jordan Collins leads receivers with six catches for 212 yards and three touchdowns, while Truman Brasfield has four receptions for 174 yards and two touchdowns.
Navy has been severely vulnerable on the defensive side of the ball this year, significantly regressing from their great form throughout the 2025 season. They rank in the bottom half of the country in scoring defense with 29.1 points allowed per game. Coleman Cauley has shined with his defensive skillset as a linebacker, racking up 58 tackles and two sacks. MarcAnthony Parker follows suit with 49 tackles and four sacks, while Aiden Lyczek put together 36 tackles, 3.5 sacks and two pass deflections. Meanwhile, Giuseppe Sessi has 42 tackles, one pass deflection and an interception in the secondary.
Notre Dame vs. Navy Prediction and Pick
This matchup between Notre Dame and Navy stands out as an intriguing matchup. Navy is experiencing a brutal campaign on the defensive side of the ball, making this game a challenging one for the Midshipmen to deal with. They haven't beaten the Fighting Irish in a game since 2009, a streak that will likely keep going give Notre Dame's elite talents on both sides of the ball. Notre Dame gets the win in this one and covers, while the over also hits.
Final Notre Dame vs. Navy Prediction and Pick: Notre Dame -30 (-112) and over 56.5 (-105)