Set your alarm clocks for Sunday at 9:30 AM Eastern because you don’t want to miss a potential shootout in Munich, Germany, between the Detroit Lions (6-2) and New England Patriots (5-4)! Detroit is tied for the second-longest winning streak (4) behind Denver (5), while New England is coming off a loss and has dropped two of the past three games.
New England is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, but in my opinion, it was the worst. Christian Gonzalez and the New England secondary were torched by Jordan Love and the Packers for 372 passing yards and three touchdowns. Without Josh Jacobs, Green Bay was able to average 4.0 yards per carry on New England, and Christian Watson (7/171/1) and Matthew Golden 10/164/1) got whatever they wanted through the air. Offensively, Drake Maye had his worst outing in an up-and-down season.
Maye kicked off the year with seven picks through four games and had one interception over the next four games before tossing three against the Packers last week for an NFL-high 11 interceptions. New England’s running game doesn’t look good as both Rhamondre Stevenson (doubtful) and TreVeyon Henderson (questionable) are injured, plus AJ Brown, so Maye has to continue chucking and carrying this offense.
Detroit is coming off four-straight wins over Arizona (45-21), Green Bay (20-17), Minnesota (19-15), and Miami (19-9). The Lions defense has turned it around lately, holding all four opponents to 21 or fewer and 15.5 points per game during the winning streak. The Lions rank third in sacks (27), with three different players recording at least five, which is what Detroit is relying on due to the explosive plays allowed in the pass game. While Detroit has limited the big plays during the winning streak, the Lions have still allowed an NFL-high of 34 pass plays of 20-plus yards.
If AJ Brown returns for New England, I’d expect Maye and Brown to warm up with some short yardage passes to gain a rhythm before taking some shots. Detroit’s offense will likely do the same after 50 total passes in the last two games and fewer than 200 passing yards for Jared Goff, which is something he hasn’t done since 2024.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game details and how to watch Lions vs Patriots
· Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
· Time: 9:30 AM ET
· Site: FC Bayern Munich Stadium
· City: Munich, Germany
· TV/Streaming: Fox
NBC Sports is your home for all the latest updates on this matchup, featuring live odds, player news, expert analysis, and predictions.
Latest Game Odds for Lions vs Patriots
The latest odds courtesy of DraftKings:
· Money line: Detroit Lions (-148), New England Patriots (+124)
· Spread: Lions -2.5 (-120)
· Total: 51.5
The look ahead was Lions -1.5 with a game total of 48.5, so we’ve seen movement toward Detroit and the Over.
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Expert picks & predictions for Lions vs Patriots
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Jared Goff to go Over his 34.5 passing attempts prop:
In his last two games, Jared Goff has thrown 25 pass attempts in each against the Dolphins and Vikings. Before that, Goff threw at least 30 passes in six straight and 38 or more in three. This is a spot where I certainly think he clears 30 and could approach 40. The Patriots run the second-most than coverage (28.5%), and that opens the door for this Lions offense.
Detroit scored 31 on the Jets, and Goff went 25-of-32 for 269 yards and two touchdowns; and that’s important because that’s the only game that Goff has faced against a team ranked top 10 in man coverage rate. The Patriots are obviously a step up from the Jets, and after the New England secondary was trashed by Jordan Love, Christian Watson, and Matthew Golden last week, this is a bounce-back spot for New England. I like Goff Over 34.5 pass attempts up to 35.5.
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Lions vs Patriots betting trends and stats
Lions betting trends
- Detroit is 3-4-1 ATS, ranking 10th-worst
- Detroit is 5-3 to the Over, ranking tied fourth-best
- Detroit is 3-3-1 ATS and 4-3 to the Over as a favorite
- Detroit is 34-21-1 ATS as a favorite since 2021, ranking second-best or since Dan Campbell took over
- Detroit is an NFL-best 36-20 to the Over since 2021
- Detroit is 40-24-1 ATS in non-divisional games since 2021, ranking second-best
- Detroit is an NFL-best 38-27 to the Over in non-divisional games since 2021
Patriots betting trends
- New England is 3-5-1 ATS, ranking eighth-worst
- New England is 6-3 to the Over, ranking tied for second-best
- New England is 1-2-1 ATS and 2-2 to the Over as an underdog
- New England is 5-1 ATS after a loss since the start of 2025, ranking fourth-best
- New England is an NFL-best 5-1 to the Over following a loss since the start of 2025
- New England is 5-5-1 ATS and 6-5 to the Over as an underdog since 2025
- New England is 11-9-1 ATS and 11-10 to the Over in non-divisional games since 2025
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Quarterback matchup for Lions vs Patriots
· New England: Drake Maye – There’s no way to dice it up besides saying that, frankly, Drake Maye was downright horrid on Sunday. He had three interceptions that could have been five or six, and season-lows in completion percentage (55.3%) and rushing yards (3). The Packers sacked Maye four times and did a stellar job at disguising pressure and coverages. Maye started the season off with seven interceptions across the first four games and had one interception over four games until he tossed three to Green Bay. New England’s turned the ball over on 19.4% of possessions, ranking worst in the NFL.
In eight games, the Lions defense has six interceptions (T-13th) and the third-most sacks (27). Maye has the third-most danger plays (21) and interceptable passes (15), but has the fifth-best completion percentage (60.9%), so he’s truly been living life on the edge with every throw under pressure. Maye enters this contest on a stretch of six-straight games with two or more passing touchdowns and three-plus in four out of six.
· Detroit: Jared Goff – Jared Goff has thrown back-to-back games for less than 200 yards for the first time since 2024 and only had 25 pass attempts in each of those games. Goff also threw an interception in back-to-back games after zero total picks through the first six games. However, Goff could turn all that around against the Patriots overseas. The Pats defense has given up 45, 19, and 30 points over the past three weeks, so there’s certainly some appeal for Goff to have a big day.
New England runs the second-most man coverage (28.5%), and Goff has the sixth-highest passer rating against man coverage (113.7) and the 17th-ranked completion percentage (58.2%). The Jets are the only other opponent ranked top-10 (3rd) in man coverage rate that the Lions have played. Goff went 25-of-32 for 269 yards and two touchdowns versus New York.
Lions vs Patriots Injury Update
Lions injuries
- DE DJ Wonnum is probable (concussion)
- C Cade Mays is out (ankle)
- CB DJ Reed is out (hip)
Patriots injuries
- WR AJ Brown is questionable (knee)
- RB Rhamondre Stevenson is doubtful (knee)
- RB TreVeyeon Henderson is questionable (ankle)
- LT Will Campbell is questionable (knee)
- OL Ben Brown is doubtful (knee)
- CB Carlton Davis III is questionable (knee)
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