The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) head to Nissan Stadium on Sunday in full control of the AFC South for an afternoon game against the last place Tennessee Titans (1-7). The Jaguars have won five of their last six and are coming off consecutive blowout victories. The Titans were off last weekend but take the field having dropped two straight since recording their only victory of the season at Indianapolis back in mid-October. As is the case in most NFL games, the spotlight shines the brightest on the quarterbacks as we approach gameday. Trevor Lawrence is flourishing having thrown for 1,932 yards, 18 touchdowns and only four interceptions. He is an MVP candidate. Tennessee’s Cam Ward continues to labor under center having thrown for 1,483 yards with only six touchdowns and yet five interceptions. His future with Tennessee looks uncertain.
Jacksonville’s latest performance was a convincing 33-10 Thursday-night victory at Baltimore, its second straight win by at least 23 points. Lawrence completed 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards and delivered the game’s biggest offensive play, a 50-yard touchdown to Parker Washington late in the second quarter that sent Jacksonville into halftime ahead 17-3. The Jaguars limited Baltimore to 227 total yards, forced three turnovers and kept the Ravens out of the red zone entirely; Baltimore’s only touchdown came on a 65-yard Justice Hill run in the fourth quarter with Jacksonville already leading 33-3.
As noted earlier, Tennessee had its bye last week. It came at an ideal time after an exhausting 43-36 overtime loss at Cincinnati, arguably its best offensive showing of the season despite another defeat. The Titans jumped ahead 13-0 and took a 36-29 advantage with just 3:46 remaining when Ward hit Wan’Dale Robinson for a 15-yard touchdown and converted the ensuing two-point try, but Cincinnati tied the game with 1:17 left and won in overtime on Joe Burrow’s nine-yard touchdown run. Ward produced his first career 300-yard passing game, completing 26 of 40 for 304 yards and two touchdowns, while Tony Pollard ran 21 times for 117 yards and two scores. Tennessee accumulated 440 yards and forced four turnovers, including three interceptions by safety Amani Hooker, yet its defense was shredded for 510 yards and allowed Burrow to throw for 462 yards and five touchdowns before his overtime rushing score.
The rivalry adds another layer because Jacksonville has emphatically reversed what was once a Tennessee-dominated series. The Titans still lead 35-28 all time, including their famous 33-14 victory over Jacksonville in the 1999 AFC Championship Game, but the Jaguars have won four consecutive meetings and seven of the last 10. Jacksonville swept Tennessee in each of the past two seasons, including a 25-3 win in Nashville last November and a 41-7 rout in Jacksonville on Jan. 4, 2026, the largest Jaguars victory in the history of the rivalry.
Let’s dive further into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Jaguars vs. Titans
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00P
- Site: Nissan Stadium
- City: Nashville, TN
- TV/Streaming: FOX
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Latest Game Odd: Jaguars vs. Titans
The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Jacksonville Jaguars (-535), Tennessee Titans (+400)
- Spread: Jaguars -10.5
- Total: 46.5
This line has ballooned. It actually opened with the Jags favored by just 2.5. The Total has grown by a modest point after opening at 45.5.
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Expert Picks & Predictions: Jaguars vs. Titans
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Jaguars and the Titans:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Titans +10.5.
- Total: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Game Total UNDER 46.5.
Here’s why the Titans +10.5 is our best bet:
The case is a Jacksonville offense that wins with efficiency, not volume. The Jaguars rank 28th in plays per game (58.75) and 28th in pass attempts (28.38 per game) — they don’t run a ton of snaps. They’re 30th in fourth-down go-for-it rate (9.8%), meaning they punt and play field position rather than chase points. Tennessee’s defense is better than its 1-7 record suggests. The Titans rank 2nd in tackle efficiency (94.75), 2nd in missed tackle rate (5.25%), 4th in quarterback pressure rate (29.41%), 5th in interception rate defense (2.94%), 7th in sacks (20), and 8th in third-down conversion rate defense (44.0%). They get after the quarterback and they tackle — the exact profile that keeps games within two scores.
Bhayshul Tuten Anytime Touchdown — Over 0.5 is a Player Prop we like:
The best prop on the board, and the matchup is the reason. Tennessee ranks 27th in rushing touchdowns allowed (1.25 per game) and 28th in carries allowed (29.88 per game) — they give up more goal-line work than almost any team in football. Tuten has cleared this 0.5 touchdown number in 4 of his last 5 games. His projection sits at 0.85 touchdowns — well above the line. Jacksonville ranks 12th in rushing touchdowns (1.0 per game) and 7th in carries (28.75 per game), and Tuten is the lead back in an offense scoring 28.62 points a night.
Jaguars vs. Titans: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Jaguars are 5-3 against the spread this season
- The Titans are 4-4 against the spread this season
- Jacksonville is 4-4 to the OVER this season
- Tennessee is 4-4 to the OVER this season
Quarterback Matchup: Jaguars vs. Titans
- Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 1932 Passing Yards, 18 TDs, 4 INTs, 111.7 RTG, Sacked 13 times - Titans: Cam Ward
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 1483 Passing Yards, 6 TDs, 5 INTs, 78.7 RTG, Sacked 13 times
Jaguars vs. Titans: Top Playmakers
Jaguars
- RB Bhayshul Tuten
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 122 carries for 521 Yds, 4 TDs / 15 receptions on 16 targets for 181 Yds, 3 TDs - WR Parker Washington
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 29 receptions on 55 targets for 493 Yds, 5 TDs - WR Jakobi Meyers
2026 Statistics: 9GP, 26 receptions on 37 targets for 374 Yds, 2 TDs
Titans
- RB Tony Pollard
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 133 carries for 595 Yds, 6 TDs / 14 receptions on 20 targets for 70 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Carnell Tate
2026 Statistics: 7GP, 34 receptions on 51 targets for 413 Yds, 1 TD - WR Wan’Dale Robinson
2026 Statistics: 8GP, 35 receptions on 50 targets for 262 Yds, 3 TDs
Jaguars vs. Titans: Injury Update
Jaguars
- No Injuries to Report
Titans
- RB Tyjae Spears (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Carnell Tate (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LG Peter Skoronski (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- RT JC Latham (finger) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Marcus Harris (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- P Tommy Townsend (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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