The Washington Commanders (2-5-1) and New York Giants (5-2-1) meet on Thursday Night Football with a chance to win the series after their memorable 27-27 tie in Week 5. New York enters on a two-game winning streak and 2-1 since playing Washington, while the Commanders have gone 1-2 in the past three games.
Washington is fresh off a 20-13 loss to the Los Angeles Rams after leading 10-6 at the half and tying it up 13-13 late in the third. The Commanders punted, turned the ball over on downs, and fumbled over their three fourth-quarter possessions and gave up the game-winning touchdown before holding Los Angeles to 20 yards for the rest of the game. The Commanders’ running backs ran for 2.86 yards per carry and relied heavily on Jayden Daniels who threw the second-most yards (274) and pass attempts (35) on the season. The Giants’ defense was outstanding last week in Philadelphia, so Daniels and company won’t have it easy at MetLife.
New York had lost 13 straight years in Philadelphia and put an end to that streak on Sunday with a 19-11 win over Joe Milton and the Eagles. The Giants grabbed seven sacks, 10 TFL, forced two fumbles, and held Philadelphia to 220 yards and 6-of-21 on third and fourth downs. New York had tons of drama at the quarterback position with J.J. McCarthy exiting the game on a stretcher with an hip injury, then coming back in after Jameis Winston threw the go-ahead touchdown in the third quarter. The Giants haven’t had a three-game winning streak since 2023, and have the chance to reach that feat on Thursday Night Football.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.
Game details and how to watch Commanders vs Giants
· Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
· Time: 8:15 PM ET
· Site: MetLife Stadium
· City: East Rutherford, NJ
· TV/Streaming: Prime Video
NBC Sports is your home for all the latest updates on this matchup, featuring live odds, player news, expert analysis, and predictions.
Latest Game Odds for Commanders at Giants
The latest odds courtesy of DraftKings:
· Money line: New York Giants (-142), Washington Commanders (+120)
· Spread: Giants -2.5 (-110)
· Total: 41.5
The spread moved from Giants -1.5 to -2.5 and total has dropped from 43.5 to 41.5 due to weather. New York is 3-1 ATS at home and Washington is 2-1 ATS on the road.
NBC Sports Bet Best Bets
Expert picks & predictions for Commanders vs Giants
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the Under 41.5 points and first half Under 20.5:
The weather in this game will be chilly, with temperatures in the 40s and low 50s and steady rain throughout. The first game also had bad weather conditions and ended 27-27, but featured a halftime score of 12-3. Jameis Winston started for the Giants and threw three touchdowns and 326 yards on 33-of-54. J.J. McCarthy will be nowhere near that on a short week when he is not 100 percent, and Jayden Daniels had 103 rushing yards and two scores, plus 199 passing yards in the tie.
I expect the quarterback play to regress in the second matchup between these divisional opponents. Washington is 3-1 to the Over versus the NFC East, while New York is 2-1 to the Over. These two are the second- and fourth-ranked teams to the Over versus divisional opponents since the start of 2025, at a combined 15-4 to the Over. Despite that convincing trend, I will buck it and go Under.
There were no interceptions in the first meeting, the Giants converted all three red zone trips, and fumbled twice on a ridiculous 84 plays — the Commanders had 60 plays and went 0-for-1 in the red zone. Both teams had seven players record a catch or rush for 10-plus plays, and I don’t see the explosive plays during a short week in the rain.
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Commanders vs Giants betting trends and stats
Commanders betting trends
- Washington is 4-4 ATS and 4-4 to the Over
- Washington is 2-2 ATS and 3-1 to the Over versus NFC East opponents
- Washington is 2-1 ATS and 2-1 to the Over on the road
- Washington is 3-3 ATS and 3-3 to the Over as an underdog
- Washington is 9-8 ATS with Dan Quinn versus NFC East
- Washington is 12-5 to the Over with Dan Quinn versus division opponents, ranking third-best
Giants betting trends
- New York is 6-2 ATS, ranking tied for second-best
- New York is 5-4 to the Over, ranking tied fourth-best
- New York is 3-1 to the Over, ranking second-best
- New York is 3-0 ATS versus NFC East opponents
- New York is 2-1 to the Over versus NFC East opponents
- New York is 2-0 ATS as a favorite and 2-0 to the Under
Peacock offers one of the most comprehensive live sports streaming lineups available today, bringing together the NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, Premier League, NCAA football, NCAA basketball, golf, motorsports, and major global sporting events in a single service.
Quarterback matchup for Commanders vs Giants
· Washington: Jayden Daniels – Daniels is coming off the second-most passing yards (274) of the season against the Rams and continued his streak without an interception. Daniels leads all quarterbacks with 4.2 scrambles per game and 8.74 yards per carry, plus ranks fifth in pressured completion percentage (60.6%). The Giants have gotten pressure lately, including seven sacks against the Eagles last week. Daniels should be active with his legs whether he likes it or not. On the season, New York’s defense permits a 61.7% completion rate (8th), 6.0 yards per pass attempt (2nd), and 177.8 passing yards per game (3rd); all ranking top 10. Daniels went 17-of-25 for 199 yards in the first meeting, and I don’t think he will do much better here, as the rain and pressure could impact him.
· New York: J.J. McCarthy – McCarthy is fitting in just fine with the G-men. He injured his hip last week against the Eagles and left on a stretcher before he received an ovation when he came back in to finish the job. McCarthy went 12-of-19 for 127 yards and added 22 rushing yards on four carries. He was sacked five times and took some bruises, but was a full participant in Tuesday’s practice. McCarthy only has one touchdown on his resume through three games, but New York has scored 27, 27, and 19 points in his starts. New York has averaged 24.3 PPG in McCarthy’s three starts compared to 21.8 PPG over the first five games without him. One area that will be of interest to me is McCarthy hitting his first read. He’s had 2.46 seconds to throw this season and is throwing to his first read 75% of the time, second-most in the NFL (behind Dart). If Washington is getting pressure, which could certainly happen after six sacks allowed last week, McCarthy could be in trouble if the Commanders jump on that first read.
Commanders vs Giants Injury Update
Commanders injuries
- C Lucas Patrick is out (concussion)
- TE Colson Yankoff is out (knee)
- WR Treylon Burks is questionable (foot)
Giants injuries
- QB J.J. McCarthy is questionable (hip)
- RB Cam Skattebo is questionable (hamstring)
- LB Abdul Carter is questionable (back)
- LB Malik Harrison is questionable (groin)
- CB Colton Hood is questionable (finger)
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest and tools for the NFL, including game predictions, player props, futures, and trends!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
