Spain’s 4 sides themselves in various conditions within the Champions League presently, with three video games to go within the league section of the competitors. The highest eight will qualify mechanically for the Spherical of 16, whereas groups positioned from ninth to twenty fourth will characteristic within the play-off spherical. The underside 12 will exit of the competitors, with no probability of dropping into the Europa League.
Undoubtedly essentially the most shocking of all 4 sides is Actual Madrid‘s precarious place in twenty fourth, as they face a tricky journey to Atalanta in Bergamo. Presently sitting on six factors, Diario AS say that projections predict a complete of 8 factors will give them a 21% probability of qualifying, and 9 factors will give them a 76% probability of constructing it by. Simply 4 factors from their last three video games, (Salzburg at house and Brest away after Atalanta) will see them by in 98% of instances.
What number of factors can be wanted to complete in Prime 24 within the Champions League?
We have simulated the UCL league stage 10,000 instances and within the majority of simulations (55%) the twenty fourth ranked workforce ended with 9 factors.
8 pts is also sufficient (21%), however 7 is already impossible. pic.twitter.com/7PvOHPZyuR
— Soccer Meets Information (@fmeetsdata) August 24, 2024
Atletico Madrid presently sit on 9 factors, which means they’re all however by already, and thus can be wanting on the high eight. Projections say that between 15 and 17 factors will probably be sufficient, which means Atletico would want no less than a few wins in opposition to Slovan Bratislava, RB Salzburg and Bayer Leverkusen. Barcelona may even get by to the Spherical of 16 with simply three extra factors in opposition to Borussia Dortmund, Benfica and Atalanta- they presently sit on 12 factors.
🔹 11 pts provide close to certainty for Prime 24 in UCL.
5⃣ groups are already there
1⃣1⃣ extra groups will be there subsequent week🔸 17 pts provide close to certainty for Prime 8
Liverpool 🏴 is the one workforce that may get there after MD6. pic.twitter.com/Q7pPUWYGwl
— Soccer Meets Information (@fmeetsdata) December 5, 2024
Girona are within the least interesting state of affairs. Their Champions League debut up to now has yielded simply 3 factors in opposition to Slovan Bratislava. They’d in all probability want two heroic wins or 5 factors from their tough remaining fixture listing in opposition to Liverpool, AC Milan and Arsenal.