By Jamie Spencer
Group D Permutations
So long as England win, they may progress to the quarter-finals while not having to fret concerning the end result within the Netherlands-France sport. Alternatively, a draw could be sufficient if Netherlands don’t beat France. They might even get by way of with a shock defeat to Wales – by lower than 4 targets – however that may be pores and skin of the enamel stuff as a result of Netherlands additionally should lose.
For England to have an opportunity of profitable the group, Netherlands should beat France, however by fewer than seven targets.
Wales can nonetheless nearly attain the final eight. However it requires a monumental end result and a serving to hand, beating England by at the very least 4 targets and for France to win in opposition to Netherlands.
Head-to-Head
England have by no means misplaced within the 10 video games they’ve performed in opposition to Wales over time, profitable 9 and drawing one. It is a first time for Sarina Wiegman dealing with Wales as England boss – the Lionesses final confronted the Dragons in 2018 when Phil Neville was in cost; profitable 3-0 – however she did oversee a 5-0 Netherlands victory in opposition to Wales shortly earlier than Euro 2017.
Participant Focus
Alessia Russo should be questioning what she must do to get on the scoresheet at this match. The Arsenal striker, though as underwhelming as her teammates in opposition to France, had a objective disallowed for essentially the most marginal of offsides within the build-up in that sport. One other in opposition to the Netherlands was additionally dominated out, once more for an offside within the build-up.
Russo’s graft in opposition to the Dutch was rewarded in different methods, placing within the arduous yards and organising her teammates to attain as an alternative. However couple of targets, or extra, in opposition to Wales – which is definitely believable, and she or he’d be firmly within the Golden Boot race going into the knockout rounds.
Proud Wales
Imminent group stage elimination isn’t actually the purpose for Wales. They’re the bottom ranked crew on the Euros and qualifying was in itself an enormous achievement. Rhian Wilkinson’s crew have been removed from embarrassed of their two defeats to date and the Canadian coach declared after dealing with France that she has “by no means been prouder” of the braveness and dedication on show.
Group Information
England loved a clear invoice of well being going into every of their first two video games. Adjustments, typically, aren’t anticipated after issues went so proper within the Netherlands win.
Wales swapped goalkeepers, from Olivia Clark to Safia Middleton-Patel, between their Netherlands and France defeats. It stays to be seen which is able to begin right here, or if uncapped Poppy Soper will get an opportunity as an alternative. At simply 23, Clark is essentially the most senior of the younger trio.
Sophie Ingle made her comeback from a long-term knee harm as a late substitute in opposition to France.
Prediction
Wales received’t wish to exit the match and not using a struggle they usually may very effectively make it robust for the Lionesses within the first half – as they did in opposition to France. However in an identical means, England’s higher high quality ought to shine by way of and, in the event that they carry out something like they did in opposition to the Netherlands, will ultimately run up the rating: England 4-1 Wales.
(Cowl picture from IMAGO)
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