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Home»NBA»Candy 16 Finest Bets: High Picks and Skilled Predictions for March Insanity | Deadspin.com

Candy 16 Finest Bets: High Picks and Skilled Predictions for March Insanity | Deadspin.com

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Candy 16 Finest Bets: High Picks and Skilled Predictions for March Insanity | Deadspin.com
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Mar 23, 2025; Raleigh, NC, USA; Duke Blue Devils ahead Cooper Flagg (2) dunks the ball through the first half towards the Baylor Bears within the second spherical of the NCAA Match at Lenovo Middle. Obligatory Credit score: Bob Donnan-Imagn Pictures

As thrilling as the amount within the first two rounds of the NCAA Match may be, the Candy 16 takes it to a different stage with high quality. Gone are the groups that have been glad simply to make the Dance. Because the aggressive steadiness of the video games steps up, so too has our “Finest Bets” record.

The next are our greatest Candy 16 bets for Thursday and Friday’s video games.

Candy 16 Finest Bets: Thursday March twenty seventh

BYU (+180) vs. Alabama (-5.5), o/u 174.5

Time: 7:09 p.m. ET
Date: Thursday, March 27
Protection: CBS
Odds by way of BetMGM

With some of the productive offenses within the recreation and one of many worst defenses, it has been laborious to not guess the over every time Alabama performs (over is 19-15-1). I do know what you’re considering: 174.5 is such a excessive quantity for a school basketball recreation.

Alabama video games have had a complete of 174.4 or higher 9 occasions this season; the over was 6-3 in these video games.

BYU averages round 81 factors per recreation this season (No. 25). Whereas its protection doesn’t rank as little as Alabama’s, it’s not spectacular both (No. 155, 71.4 ppg allowed). Each groups like to shoot threes.

Our decide: These guys are hitting the over on this recreation.

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Arizona (+315) vs. Duke (-8.5), o/u 153.5

Time: 9:39 p.m. ET
Date: Thursday, March 27
Protection: CBS
Odds by way of FanDuel

Selecting this recreation virtually appears like dishonest. Nothing towards Arizona; the Wildcats have had a strong season and have confirmed themselves to be a superb crew. They will put up some factors (No. 17, 82.2 ppg) and are beasts on the boards (No. 11 rebounds per recreation, 40.08).

However they only aren’t in the identical class as Duke.

Duke already beat the Wildcats earlier within the season, 69-55. Sure, Arizona has improved considerably since then, however so has Duke. When they’re wholesome, few groups can cling with the Blue Devils, and Arizona just isn’t one in all them.

Our decide: Duke -8.5

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Candy 16 Finest Bets: Friday, March twenty eighth

Michigan (+330) vs. Auburn (-8.5), o/u 152.5

Time: 9:39 p.m. ET
Date: Friday, March 28
Protection: CBS
Odds by way of DraftKings

The Wolverines have performed nicely to date. They took care of UC San Diego (68-65) regardless that many analysts thought-about them a main upset candidate. Texas A&M was favored within the second spherical, however the Aggies couldn’t defend within the second half with out fouling.

But it surely is not going to be practically as simple towards Auburn. The Tigers are one of many prime rebounding groups within the nation, can push the tempo or hit from lengthy vary, and won’t foul practically as a lot as A&M did.

Michigan might hold it shut within the first half, however I anticipate Auburn to steer by 10 on the break. The Wolverines wrestle from the three-point line, so as soon as the lead widens and they’re pressured to begin throwing up three-pointers, will probably be recreation over.

Our decide: Auburn -8.5

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Purdue (+290) vs. Houston (-7.5), o/u 132.5

Time: 10:09 p.m. ET
Date: Friday, March 28
Protection: TBS/truTV
Odds by way of BetMGM

It could possibly make for an fascinating recreation when two groups with comparable kinds play one another. Each Purdue and Houston favor to let their defenses cleared the path whereas scoring sufficient to win, typically leading to low-scoring video games.

This technique bought Purdue previous Excessive Level within the first spherical and McNeese State within the second. Ditto for Houston, however with one vital distinction: the Cougars are so a lot better at it.

Houston has the No. 1 protection within the nation (58.4 factors per recreation allowed). It has held 19 of 34 opponents under that mark this season. On the offensive finish, the Cougars don’t do a lot (No. 152, 74.5 ppg), however since they permit a lot much less, it doesn’t matter what they rating.

The opposite crew will rating much less.

Our decide: Houston -7.5

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